CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7784ebe6bfe205e4397d0b7e2cd0bade955a6e87a3ff4c5dd74c65b31f07089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Astralis, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $409,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Astralis | 26c | 119,915$31,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,160.87 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed FUT Esports | 79c | 117,677$92,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,187.14 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Astralis | 30c | 28,987$8,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,792.72 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports | 63c | 26,669$16,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,867.5 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FUT Esports | 75c | 17,716$13,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.93 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Astralis | 39c | 10,060$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.93 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 9,570$6,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.47 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Astralis | 26c | 9,420$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.55 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Astralis | 37c | 7,518$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.64 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 34c | 6,842$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.92 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Astralis | 23c | 6,657$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.69 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Astralis | 39c | 6,230$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.88 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Astralis | 31c | 5,432$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed FUT Esports | 64c | 5,140$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.23 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Astralis | 36c | 4,813$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.74 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 4,704$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.67 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed FUT Esports | 61c | 4,617$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.55 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed FUT Esports | 63c | 4,117$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.12 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Astralis | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed Astralis | 36c | 3,983$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.74 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Astralis | 35c | 3,875$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.24 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed FUT Esports | 72c | 3,392$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.7 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Astralis | 5c | 3,141$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FUT Esports | 67c | 2,906$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.8 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked FUT Esports | 75c | 2,686$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.59 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed FUT Esports | 65c | 2,258$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.26 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Astralis | 41c | 2,175$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.48 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed FUT Esports | 63c | 2,166$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.4 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Astralis | 39c | 1,966$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.55 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports | 74c | 1,932$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.41 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Astralis | 34c | 1,867$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.7 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 71c | 1,745$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.8 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed FUT Esports | 69c | 1,702$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.01 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed FUT Esports | 64c | 1,692$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.24 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Astralis | 37c | 1,649$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.31 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Astralis | 8c | 1,643$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.39 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports | 60c | 1,603$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.21 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Astralis | 4c | 1,603$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Astralis | 19c | 1,580$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.24 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FUT Esports | 74c | 1,543$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.41 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked FUT Esports | 65c | 1,529$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.04 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…6813backed FUT Esports | 65c | 1,506$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Astralis | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…3126backed FUT Esports | 66c | 1,485$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.06 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Astralis | 41c | 1,484$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.26 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed FUT Esports | 72c | 1,455$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.99 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed FUT Esports | 61c | 1,431$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.2 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Astralis | 11c | 1,420$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Astralis | 37c | 1,300$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.69 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 1,286$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.57 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 1,262$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.01 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked FUT Esports | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked Astralis | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Astralis | 3c | 1,185$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed FUT Esports | 56c | 1,179$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.9 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Astralis | 44c | 1,163$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.92 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed FUT Esports | 64c | 1,160$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports | 66c | 1,095$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Astralis | 5c | 1,061$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed FUT Esports | 74c | 1,042$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.92 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x341f…b48bbacked FUT Esports | 64c | 1,018$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.31 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed FUT Esports | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed FUT Esports | 65c | 979$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.65 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Astralis | 4c | 942.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 852.33$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Astralis | 39c | 837.89$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.08 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…a4febacked Astralis | 2c | 830.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked FUT Esports | 66c | 771.81$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.41 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Astralis | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Astralis | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FUT Esports | 62c | 684.04$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.94 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed FUT Esports | 63c | 646.23$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.11 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Astralis | 36c | 640$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…2b2cbacked FUT Esports | 78c | 634.02$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked FUT Esports | 78c | 614.85$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Astralis | 44c | 611.29$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Astralis | 13c | 574.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…b1b6backed FUT Esports | 76c | 541.92$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.18 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Astralis | 30c | 536.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Astralis | 36c | 534.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -12.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Astralis | 38c | 532.86$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed FUT Esports | 57c | 527.62$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.88 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Astralis | 16c | 522.44$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 215 | 57.2%123 W · 92 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FUT Esports | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Astralis | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Astralis | 33c | 494.07$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Astralis | 5c | 471.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…05aabacked FUT Esports | 64c | 458.63$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed FUT Esports | 64c | 458.63$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9635…ae57backed Astralis | 3c | 454.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked FUT Esports | 63c | 431.84$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Astralis | 13c | 408.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Astralis | 4c | 403.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed FUT Esports | 63c | 400.64$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.36 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…589abacked Astralis | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Astralis | 21c | 399.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked FUT Esports | 69c | 397.04$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0311…f80ebacked Astralis | 8c | 390.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 181 | 26.5%48 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Astralis | 11c | 384.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 WinnerAstralis won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 4 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Astralis (+2.5)Astralis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.