TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,450
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,450 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over48c9,210$4,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,745.962,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c6,170$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,221.113,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over39c5,744$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,482.853,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under53c3,115$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.4750054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over79c2,498$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.2212465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66b…cca4backed Over35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.994100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+91.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Under22c1,954$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.1946243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under21c1,500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32081244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under23c1,481$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.681,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under20c1,020$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.541,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Under65c928.43$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.4820251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Over55c887.84$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.4114362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Over48c693.75$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.7515749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Over74c670.06$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.218862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Over79c648.75$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2922757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under24c574.71$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.417250.6%87 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Under55c514.61$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.551855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under37c444.72$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.541,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked Under72c431.62$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.775648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…9213backed Under35c375.53$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.442441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Over73c369.23$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3922554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Under53c325.55$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.2834542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over58c299.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.52,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Over77c256.26$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0217462.1%108 W · 66 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over77c256.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9248562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under52c246.44$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.253,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over65c224.61$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.612,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2f3…1732backed Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba10…bf97backed Under49c196.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9621644.4%96 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Under57c194.84$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.069443.6%41 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under45c174.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.181,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed Under26c172.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8914856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Under65c164.69$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.059852%51 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under61c159.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3510031%31 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Over75c156.48$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1240655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Over33c150.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9241640.6%169 W · 247 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under52c143.79$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1345238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under55c135$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1949242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52fe…c258backed Under25c134.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.212763%17 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over72c129.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.835,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Under53c126.52$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0541847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked Over78c122.58$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9919259.4%114 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Under22c121.73$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over54c120.01$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.491,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…090dbacked Under59c118.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.631040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8471…e4f0backed Over79c112.49$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.621560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over41c111$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.491,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Under24c110.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7354543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Over38c109.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.221,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b7…9581backed Under50c106.7$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.351631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed Over41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5929153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Under43c99.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.421,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.561,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under25c96.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.877142.3%30 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under54c96.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9311546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under54c96.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9312352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under54c96.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.932347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd166…666ebacked Under30c88.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.74955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf057…f531backed Under56c87.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6712760.6%77 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Under58c72.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.568943.8%39 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…a26dbacked Under73c68.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb51f…2fccbacked Over75c65.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.033100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under59c56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2318057.2%103 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b90…3d5cbacked Over70c55.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09fd…60f7backed Under56c55.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.168322.9%19 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over40c55.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2847260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under22c53.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7626650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x399c…6191backed Over76c51.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4516965.1%110 W · 59 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b8…47f4backed Over37c50.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a6f…8063backed Under20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107132.4%23 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over65c48.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1321952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under53c48.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7626037.3%97 W · 163 L-17.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c64…929abacked Over37c48.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.33246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under52c35.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.341,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over42c34.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9913350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceea…ec81backed Over76c32.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.787659.2%45 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c1…028bbacked Under77c32.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+125%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Over50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.54740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Over71c30.86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9539249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc069…5f39backed Over77c30.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1f…18cebacked Over76c28.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc15…8730backed Under70c28.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef07…5bd2backed Under52c27.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.577744.2%34 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed Over43c26.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.26875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+72.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a91…736bbacked Over76c25.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2211866.1%78 W · 40 L+0.5wins0.00per pick66cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed Under51c25.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Over54c25.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.628556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ed…7f4bbacked Under60c22.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over60c22.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9225352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Under59c21.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Under51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7140155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.212856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x612e…8427backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked Under63c19.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Over78c18.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1733456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de8…f004backed Over77c14.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.42965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.