TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b90…3d5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.32
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.65
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+525%+$224.34
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$10.07
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$50.53
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$42.68
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+53.5%+$6.9
All 23 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$53.18
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked ULF Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 1 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.63
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Keyonte George: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
All 4 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Julia Polastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.