Earnings · resolved market
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77f5af7d2bd3570be02290745c16ed4d6953d94436d2c1292c2c1f79418cf106
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 54c | 5,067$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.87 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 71c | 4,785$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.1 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e70…09d5backed Yes | 34c | 3,056$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…fb47backed Yes | 59c | 2,581$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No | 44c | 2,218$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.23 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 22c | 1,949$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.99 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c1…c03abacked Yes | 43c | 1,853$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fd…2ab1backed Yes | 63c | 1,669$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…a5efbacked Yes | 9c | 1,461$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 63c | 1,410$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.28 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea9…894cbacked No | 80c | 1,320$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.13 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 43c | 1,061$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.72 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…d607backed Yes | 25c | 992.08$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked No | 75c | 849.01$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…336cbacked No | 57c | 808.88$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…c336backed Yes | 63c | 632.69$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…7734backed No | 50c | 631.49$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 30c | 627.83$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 80c | 609.43$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 32c | 593$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed No | 57c | 471.13$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 59c | 430.44$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…059abacked Yes | 74c | 399.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 24c | 398.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes | 42c | 380.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…09b6backed Yes | 27c | 364.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 41c | 336.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…f78fbacked Yes | 30c | 333.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +525%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf914…3b2bbacked Yes | 46c | 304.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 56c | 282.82$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 41c | 281.81$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…1d6ebacked Yes | 29c | 262.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…36b7backed Yes | 74c | 250.08$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.19 | 87 | 72.4%63 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…8a93backed Yes | 30c | 236.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 231.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…a6f4backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9788…47b1backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…775cbacked Yes | 31c | 190.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 48c | 179.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e862backed No | 64c | 178.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 57c | 174.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 57c | 173.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…a64fbacked Yes | 45c | 167.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed No | 12c | 166.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 66c | 165.35$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed No | 62c | 161.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 70c | 161.36$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272f…164fbacked Yes | 53c | 161.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…32f8backed Yes | 34c | 160$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…2f6ebacked No | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 22c | 137.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…3262backed Yes | 70c | 132.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…a303backed No | 58c | 128$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 33c | 126.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 126.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 67c | 120.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked Yes | 26c | 114.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked Yes | 56c | 109.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 38c | 109.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa9…07e4backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…9e94backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…d4b3backed Yes | 57c | 97.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…18a2backed No | 72c | 96.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…bfdebacked Yes | 53c | 95.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 74c | 94.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…c88ebacked Yes | 28c | 92.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…9eadbacked No | 39c | 89.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…0315backed Yes | 28c | 89.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x098a…8fc5backed Yes | 29c | 88.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 54c | 83.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 49c | 81.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…640fbacked No | 25c | 79.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 23c | 75.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked No | 19c | 72.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…4bbfbacked Yes | 78c | 72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…d463backed Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff01…3bfebacked Yes | 26c | 69.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 42c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x961b…4210backed Yes | 52c | 66.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…6700backed Yes | 30c | 66.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…ce75backed Yes | 57c | 65.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 32c | 63.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 62.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.