Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dcc8e9cdf161506433956f58dcaf40061d992070aaac876d5f75c922d5e1818
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $734,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $737,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $734,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 627,200$307,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307,327.57 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 51c | 160,000$81,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,400 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,000 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,400 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 49c | 9,000$4,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.37 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 8,482$4,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.21 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 5,201$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 4,341$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.17 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 3,437$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 49c | 1,803$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.47 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 51c | 1,605$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.45 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 1,505$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.17 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 970$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…56febacked Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 47c | 787$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.11 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Over | 49c | 612.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 49c | 269.84$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 247.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 52c | 224.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 54c | 192.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…7657backed Under | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 11c | 167.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 143.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Under | 54c | 139.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9277…2aedbacked Under | 54c | 130.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 51c | 94.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 49c | 89.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 48c | 86.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under | 54c | 79.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 54c | 70.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 54c | 68.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Under | 27c | 58.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 51c | 46.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…26febacked Under | 54c | 45.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 54c | 44.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 43.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Under | 52c | 43.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 54c | 43.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f7…86f9backed Over | 49c | 41.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Under | 54c | 37.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 51c | 35.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 34.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Over | 49c | 33.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked Under | 51c | 33.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Under | 52c | 31.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 30.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Under | 47c | 26.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Under | 54c | 22.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Over | 49c | 20.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Under | 55c | 18.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…4972backed Under | 65c | 18.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 152.5this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU RamsVCU Rams won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 153.5Under won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. VCU Rams: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-14.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.