Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon State Beavers vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbafecee01d791a191cf4f02588885435355a20d9b8ab59f560703efabf7fcfd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $633,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $633,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 51c | 562,726$284,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278,481.12 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 49c | 370,075$182,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,836.86 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 177,960$88,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,171.26 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 51c | 19,000$9,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,703.66 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 11,202$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 48c | 7,988$3,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.49 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 3,078$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 54c | 1,853$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 51c | 1,752$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.84 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Over | 8c | 1,618$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 50c | 1,613$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.67 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 1,603$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.03 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 50c | 1,482$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.99 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 12c | 1,412$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 52c | 951.92$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…648ebacked Under | 51c | 876.62$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Over | 8c | 773.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 666.26$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Over | 51c | 665.6$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.59 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 13c | 592.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 49c | 555.7$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.29 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Over | 78c | 454.49$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.26 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Under | 49c | 443.97$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.19 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…fb30backed Under | 46c | 439.2$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 16c | 428.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 15c | 370.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Under | 51c | 293.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Under | 51c | 260.63$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 248.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Over | 52c | 191.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Over | 50c | 185.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 15c | 183.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Under | 51c | 180.84$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Over | 53c | 179.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Under | 51c | 176.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 50c | 160.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed Over | 52c | 119.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 50c | 116.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Under | 39c | 99.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 49c | 97.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…2b8bbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Under | 51c | 93.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Under | 51c | 91.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…462fbacked Over | 11c | 90$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…40a4backed Under | 51c | 88.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 82.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Over | 50c | 79.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…b262backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 49c | 68.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 52c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…2d47backed Under | 51c | 67.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Over | 50c | 60.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…111ebacked Under | 52c | 55.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…2a94backed Over | 50c | 53.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…3751backed Over | 50c | 47.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Over | 50c | 43.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…a994backed Over | 52c | 43.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…c74abacked Over | 53c | 41.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…11b2backed Under | 51c | 40.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Under | 51c | 40.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Over | 50c | 36.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 51c | 33.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 50c | 32.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd562…b6d1backed Over | 50c | 30.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31fe…5ee4backed Under | 71c | 29.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Over | 50c | 25.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Over | 50c | 25.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 141.5this page
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Saint Mary's GaelsSaint Mary's Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.