Stocks · resolved market
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd89e9dcc18706e1b7bf7d186207af082b76448397433293964da39dc3e39a298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95ba…6a41backed Yes | 50c | 10,800$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…7febbacked No | 50c | 10,800$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed No | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 16c | 2,187$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.33 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…2f7cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,706$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.47 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked No | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 50c | 1,383$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.28 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…043ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,250$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.69 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 48c | 1,248$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.07 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 51c | 1,131$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.76 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 31c | 1,061$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.92 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Yes | 32c | 985.07$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.9 | 1,326 | 46.9%622 W · 704 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c4…4f84backed Yes | 63c | 790.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 49c | 732.95$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.7 | 602 | 29.9%180 W · 422 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…7734backed No | 38c | 618.37$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…38a3backed No | 51c | 550$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…d20ebacked Yes | 53c | 548$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 61c | 435.5$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.34 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 50c | 380.79$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.07 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8e78backed No | 40c | 340$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f1…42e9backed Yes | 60c | 340$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed No | 45c | 337.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 57c | 325.43$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 58c | 314.35$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 55c | 310.88$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.43 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 48c | 214.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…f40bbacked No | 46c | 176$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ac…217cbacked No | 45c | 172.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 49c | 160.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes | 51c | 152.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…c336backed No | 47c | 139.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 25c | 133.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…28f0backed Yes | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…6d89backed No | 42c | 124.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…96c3backed Yes | 62c | 123$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…626cbacked Yes | 47c | 122.73$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 63c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 49c | 118.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…7676backed Yes | 43c | 116.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 56c | 111.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 33c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf927…a7abbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed Yes | 56c | 98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 52c | 95.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…4624backed Yes | 65c | 92.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…5dbdbacked No | 58c | 91.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed No | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…ac6ebacked No | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 40c | 87.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 46c | 84.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01a…8fdabacked No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 64c | 78.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 20c | 74.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…5216backed No | 46c | 74.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…073abacked No | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…e455backed Yes | 50c | 70.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 64c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 48c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc52…1db6backed Yes | 58c | 54.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa1…deebbacked Yes | 62c | 54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 57cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…812bbacked Yes | 49c | 50.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a3…b461backed Yes | 21c | 46.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…eb64backed Yes | 50c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…68bcbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…d152backed No | 55c | 36.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…a83abacked Yes | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc997…a8ecbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 41c | 33.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 52c | 31.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…cb63backed Yes | 62c | 30.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +12.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 46c | 29.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 51c | 26.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2320…4713backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…6650backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…eb03backed Yes | 51c | 21.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3e…2584backed No | 53c | 20.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | -19.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ec…ec61backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…1768backed No | 53c | 19.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…df14backed Yes | 61c | 19.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 end of January?this page
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?Yes won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $460 end of January?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of January?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $480 end of January?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $490 end of January?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $500 end of January?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $510 end of January?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $520 end of January?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $530 end of January?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $540 end of January?No won
- Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $550 end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.