TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raiders: O/U 158.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$821,694
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$839,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $821,694 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under51c669,379$339,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339,436.4935945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c250,000$122,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127,499.959860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over50c150,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,00021754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over49c150,000$73,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,50069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c66,013$32,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,646.1690645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over49c40,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,40013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Over49c30,379$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,378.6812754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over50c22,222$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,222.1113154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9723…77d8backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…b46ebacked Under51c12,536$6,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,393.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00010441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under52c11,163$5,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,804.8674649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over49c8,480$4,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,359.748946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over50c8,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,04042246.2%195 W · 227 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00014654.1%79 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Under52c8,000$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1606446.9%30 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over49c6,002$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,091.0317050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00035452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c5,820$2,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.8912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6005843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c4,496$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2481,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Under46c4,235$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.9378155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50021248.1%102 W · 110 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50016954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59039744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over47c3,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58012358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under53c2,852$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.2589850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8218548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Under51c1,764$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.536445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75025556.1%143 W · 112 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,235$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.245,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over50c1,212$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60618650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc60f…9ea3backed Over49c1,100$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Under49c1,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4155749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over50c1,002$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.8732751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Over50c975$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.56144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Under51c880.06$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.832948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Under52c555.95$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.097234.7%25 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over48c547.7$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.841752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over50c542$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over47c500$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26314151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under52c454.33$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.099440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Over63c443$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1635959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over49c408.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.375560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef34…86b2backed Under54c370.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…fb30backed Under51c308.9$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.541637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Under51c264$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.644344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Over50c255.34$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.673240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce0…5cb9backed Under53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.51030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.949849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c241.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.553,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed Over50c201.4$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.72040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10215156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over50c185.9$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9511159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe98d…8fe0backed Over60c184.66$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.711442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick22cpaid+94.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Under45c170$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.538645.9%177 W · 209 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Under51c169.37$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.387450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under37c164.44$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6327955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Over47c159.39$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3921443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed Under51c154$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.542450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Over50c145.3$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2819653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2319657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under13c132$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.353,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over50c131.56$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7810049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Under51c119.68$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.043043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Under52c116$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3232146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5017258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under45c97.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4450546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Over49c97.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.212341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1518656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.455,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Over49c87.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.017252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Under51c87.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.874146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Under51c83.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.663348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c82.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.584,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Under51c72.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.933246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x892b…d315backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.66653%35 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf01…b14cbacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304055%22 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over50c59.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.721059.5%125 W · 85 L+17.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under51c51.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3297447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7259…620cbacked Over49c50.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc079…8881backed Over54c50.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.126349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.57957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fe0…323bbacked Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266450%32 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5ed…d157backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Under54c49.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.993148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Over50c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.515950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.