Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f7d4eec17a01d66fc23e0c4eca747c3744b15a646727196531b04307dcbdd8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland State Vikingsof Cleveland State Vikings, Wright State Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Cleveland State Vikings | 7c | 2,000$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.08 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Wright State Raiders | 3c | 899.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Cleveland State Vikings | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.33 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cleveland State Vikings | 36c | 650.71$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Wright State Raiders | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Wright State Raiders | 28c | 399.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 386.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.53 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 40c | 342.04$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.82 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland State Vikings | 40c | 297.7$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland State Vikings | 31c | 290.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cleveland State Vikings | 9c | 254.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.92 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…6527backed Cleveland State Vikings | 36c | 240.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wright State Raiders | 68c | 215.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 7c | 199.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cleveland State Vikings | 9c | 191.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 187$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wright State Raiders | 78c | 168.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…b307backed Cleveland State Vikings | 20c | 163.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 144.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…87e5backed Cleveland State Vikings | 9c | 117.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +251.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 9c | 112.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Cleveland State Vikings | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wright State Raiders | 19c | 81.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Cleveland State Vikings | 58c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Wright State Raiders | 33c | 57.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Wright State Raiders | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Wright State Raiders | 53c | 47.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Cleveland State Vikings | 39c | 44.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Wright State Raiders | 66c | 43.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Wright State Raiders | 65c | 28.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wright State Raiders | 76c | 28.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Cleveland State Vikings | 50c | 28.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -17.2wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Cleveland State Vikings | 43c | 28.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 52c | 26.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raidersthis page
- Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raiders: O/U 158.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.