NHL · resolved market
Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49c35962962f712e04da2134f14987045a3ad7ab13d7bce17967e7a291fbf87c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 17c | 2,423$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.63 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…37b3backed No | 6c | 996.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed No | 28c | 689.61$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed No | 19c | 535.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0892…38f4backed No | 37c | 396.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 13c | 337.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 21c | 278.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Yes | 75c | 233.69$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…f52bbacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 167.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…63f8backed Yes | 77c | 132.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 20c | 84.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 77c | 33.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Yes | 79c | 27.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes | 78c | 13.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Arizona Coyotes make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Boston Bruins make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Buffalo Sabres make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Calgary Flames make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Chicago Blackhawks make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Red Wings make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Minnesota Wild make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Montreal Canadiens make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Nashville Predators make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the New Jersey Devils make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Islanders make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Rangers make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Ottawa Senators make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Pittsburgh Penguins make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the San Jose Sharks make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Vancouver Canucks make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights make the NHL Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Washington Capitals make the NHL Playoffs?No won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets make the NHL Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.