TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Boston Bruins make the NHL Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes68c1,269$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.7112438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5e…37b3backed No8c1,098$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6860%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5748…3c7bbacked No8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No51c974.51$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.328339.8%33 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes46c904.39$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.3726136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffaf…b675backed Yes75c712.2$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.714540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes75c677$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.712,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes59c545.76$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3121534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed No51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25521048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Yes62c363.83$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6524949.8%124 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No32c259.42$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1222516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No53c221.91$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1611141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No29c190.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.916414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes42c140$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.910336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed No54c130.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No50c113.66$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.779935.4%35 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.63852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8721651.4%111 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked No47c97.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.534942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No29c84.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6634…a779backed Yes54c84.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.441520%3 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-65.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x86bd…b9acbacked Yes58c78.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed No43c72.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b82…7a36backed No42c53.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.271816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-69.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb46…d1ecbacked Yes60c43.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb9…f8bbbacked Yes48c42.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6a…3ee2backed Yes69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.452451%267 W · 257 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No42c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.111,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed No49c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.663540%14 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked No53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.618949.2%93 W · 96 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x597a…5df0backed Yes61c19.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.663141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.