Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $325?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00b07944bfff4a113d4f7f7710a212640d7eed409ba7812bb705a9671655499c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 75c | 7,876$5,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.58 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 40c | 6,208$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.85 | 1,106 | 43.9%486 W · 620 L | +27.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…3115backed Yes | 16c | 3,131$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 55c | 567.34$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.1 | 1,775 | 49%869 W · 906 L | +141.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 27c | 427.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…6be0backed No | 16c | 425.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.25 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed No | 54c | 387$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 32c | 285.29$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 75c | 246.51$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes | 26c | 245.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…410fbacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked Yes | 25c | 160.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 11c | 151.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.46 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked No | 39c | 120.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked No | 30c | 116.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 103.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1,443 | 8.8%127 W · 1,316 L | -53.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…9ac4backed No | 15c | 102.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +580.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 17c | 91.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa5…85cabacked No | 32c | 80.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 64c | 74.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ba…5b5ebacked No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 41c | 57.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 57.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…9d72backed No | 78c | 55.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 58c | 44.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d3…752fbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…bd3bbacked No | 60c | 37.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7e…0761backed No | 51c | 35.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…29dbbacked Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…15c1backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $325?this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $310?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $315?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $320?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $330?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $335?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $340?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $345?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $350?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $355?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $360?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $365?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $370?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.