Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $330?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5fa84cf4475f3fde53a4dea85a3b6b08d55a2997bbe0c95732c4c56995a510b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 66c | 9,620$6,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.26 | 1,111 | 43.7%486 W · 625 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 26c | 5,105$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…26efbacked Yes | 58c | 3,075$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.16 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 60c | 623$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 351 | 51.6%181 W · 170 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked No | 64c | 599.59$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.59 | 1,779 | 49.1%873 W · 906 L | +143.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked Yes | 22c | 342.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 201.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 1,444 | 8.8%127 W · 1,317 L | -53.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 990 | 38%376 W · 614 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 67c | 147.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 46c | 141.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 46c | 133$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 812 | 40.3%327 W · 485 L | +37.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa78…f40bbacked No | 12c | 120.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 17c | 108.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…b4f1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 17c | 99.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…6be0backed No | 32c | 95.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…c767backed Yes | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 59c | 78.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…b139backed No | 80c | 71.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 61c | 71.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 243 | 56.8%138 W · 105 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 44c | 51.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 41.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…42d4backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked No | 59c | 29.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 49c | 29.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23eb…c516backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $330?this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $310?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $315?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $320?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $325?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $335?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $340?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $345?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $350?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $355?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $360?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $365?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $370?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.