TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$516,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$518,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Over54c358,476$193,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193,492.3123948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91a…3987backed Under46c217,391$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,391.1413561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under46c133,017$61,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,829.1543647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under46c36,968$17,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,962.5185645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c32,048$17,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,223.224,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over54c10,055$5,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,429.465248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c9,795$5,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,209.317248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Under46c7,532$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,032.0823846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c6,793$3,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,603.0511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under48c6,755$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,512.6519546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Over56c6,032$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,375.1351756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.9919053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.9824150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over52c5,452$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.174,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5762…90eebacked Under47c5,319$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.156552.3%34 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under47c4,385$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.573,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over50c4,379$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.5855053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under47c4,345$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.821,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under47c4,345$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.821,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c4,123$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.85,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c3,217$1,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.9712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6204266.7%28 W · 14 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Under47c2,602$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.0666050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c2,600$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.096,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under46c2,498$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.135356.6%30 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c2,480$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.151,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9157548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over54c1,851$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.541,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over53c1,812$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.3692054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95486653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Over52c1,767$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.8789153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over53c1,708$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.6189053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,644$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.748,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Under50c1,633$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.51566.7%10 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c1,615$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.129,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x463e…fa8ebacked Under50c1,490$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.981464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c1,384$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.1310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Under46c1,115$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.8419550.8%99 W · 96 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5257…f324backed Under57c1,086$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.512744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Under46c1,043$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.4715857.6%91 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c1,042$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.1668053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Over55c1,031$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56712848.4%62 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c999.98$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.991,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f48…a145backed Over54c925.92$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under46c852.5$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.3541051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15087750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c810.84$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4284,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over54c755.32$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.871,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under46c693.02$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.1661352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3accbacked Under46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.175954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under46c630.43$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4311454.4%62 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under48c611$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.165549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over55c564.11$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.2128154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under50c542.24$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.723,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under46c530.29$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.438,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under50c492.66$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.291,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under47c487.6$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8397944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under48c480$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.62,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under47c460$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.839440.9%161 W · 233 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over51c452.1$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5721052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over53c401.33$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.721550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over53c401.31$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6956851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2167259.7%43 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb90…c03dbacked Over54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.83562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf93…5d2abacked Under47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.152065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Under46c313.94$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5312752.8%67 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over51c299.84$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6243560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under46c297.52$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6644648.7%217 W · 229 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over54c279.98$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.841,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Under47c276.4$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4953644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Over23c249.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3617446%80 W · 94 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over23c245.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.455,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over56c242.53$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over41c239$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.134,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed Under45c235.85$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.723852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Under46c221.72$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.738353%44 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f8…7de3backed Under47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.638142%160 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Under46c213.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.044450%22 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7715159.6%90 W · 61 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.978155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10825260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed Over54c196$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.26947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee6b…accbbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ca…2d82backed Over55c181.18$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.964445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over55c180.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over53c179.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3970744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under46c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Under49c140.82$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.828754%47 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Over54c140$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.621851.4%112 W · 106 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over53c134.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5439151.9%203 W · 188 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.