MLB · resolved market

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c3550732af04827ea9113ab49ed3d99fd5439cbfe10312693336227f644ba30

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Colorado Rockies
Resolved: Jun 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,670

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,648 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers	52c	9,196$4,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,413.18	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	5,521$2,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,703.56	2,310	52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Colorado Rockies	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	603	50.1%302 W · 301 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Colorado Rockies	48c	1,998$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Colorado Rockies	48c	1,979$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers	51c	1,979$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.93	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies	47c	1,977$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.21	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers	53c	1,222$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.98	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Colorado Rockies	48c	1,027$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.82	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Colorado Rockies	48c	1,026$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.6	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Colorado Rockies	48c	859.99$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.9	2,588	61.5%1,591 W · 997 L	+72.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Colorado Rockies	48c	830.44$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies	48c	688.6$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.53	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Colorado Rockies	47c	562$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.14	575	51.7%297 W · 278 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Colorado Rockies	48c	484.06$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.35	1,737	49.1%852 W · 885 L	+7.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Colorado Rockies	48c	410.67$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.12	324	50.9%165 W · 159 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers	51c	352.45$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.13	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Colorado Rockies	48c	312.38$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.94	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Colorado Rockies	47c	299.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.13	999	47.5%475 W · 524 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Milwaukee Brewers	53c	267.32$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.54	174	60.9%106 W · 68 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers	49c	259.69$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.44	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers	60c	249.91$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.99	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Colorado Rockies	67c	223.88$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	878	50.5%443 W · 435 L	+12.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Colorado Rockies	48c	179$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.92	1,630	55.2%899 W · 731 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Colorado Rockies	51c	156.86$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	665	51.1%340 W · 325 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Milwaukee Brewers	52c	123.13$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.69	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Colorado Rockies	47c	112.06$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Colorado Rockies	51c	107.54$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.54	158	48.7%77 W · 81 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies	48c	104.16$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Colorado Rockies	47c	103.96$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.05	660	56.2%371 W · 289 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	443	48.5%215 W · 228 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	411	52.3%215 W · 196 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies	45c	97.68$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.85	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	94.7$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.35	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Colorado Rockies	47c	94.48$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	1,040	51.8%539 W · 501 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Milwaukee Brewers	58c	92.04$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.86	694	47.6%330 W · 364 L	-9.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Colorado Rockies	48c	91.79$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.15	1,133	57.2%648 W · 485 L	+35.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Colorado Rockies	48c	89.13$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.22	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies	50c	88.02$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.01	3,841	42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers	50c	88.02$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.01	2,311	51%1,179 W · 1,132 L	+25.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Colorado Rockies	35c	87.69$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.66	773	53.9%417 W · 356 L	+35.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Colorado Rockies	48c	82.13$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.42	253	57.3%145 W · 108 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Colorado Rockies	51c	80$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	478	48.5%232 W · 246 L	-15.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Colorado Rockies	48c	79.17$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	111	58.6%65 W · 46 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies	73c	78$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.94	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Colorado Rockies	73c	78$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.94	174	46%80 W · 94 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Milwaukee Brewers	53c	63.83$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Colorado Rockies	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	326	47.9%156 W · 170 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8be5…e3cabacked Milwaukee Brewers	50c	62$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0417…9248backed Colorado Rockies	76c	60$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.65	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies	45c	59.85$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.89	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Milwaukee Brewers	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	165	53.3%88 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x165d…a4d5backed Colorado Rockies	48c	49.48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	99	60.6%60 W · 39 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1026…e794backed Colorado Rockies	48c	49.48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0e…704abacked Colorado Rockies	48c	49.48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	77	58.4%45 W · 32 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Colorado Rockies	48c	49.48$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	246	57.3%141 W · 105 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0811…1870backed Milwaukee Brewers	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fee…3d67backed Milwaukee Brewers	50c	42.8$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.4	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers	47c	35.2$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.79	5,812	43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L	-188.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Milwaukee Brewers	44c	33.11$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.68	1,819	49.3%896 W · 923 L	-24.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Colorado Rockies	47c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa03…c8a4backed Milwaukee Brewers	68c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Colorado Rockies	51c	27.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	899	50.6%455 W · 444 L	-24.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Colorado Rockies	45c	25.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Colorado Rockies	47c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	572	44.6%255 W · 317 L	-35.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Milwaukee Brewers	46c	23.8$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.85	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Colorado Rockies	46c	22$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Colorado Rockies	49c	21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	1,481	63.5%940 W · 541 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Milwaukee Brewers	52c	19.41$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.32	107	59.8%64 W · 43 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)this page
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesMilwaukee Brewers won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 6.5Over won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-6.5)Colorado Rockies won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event