MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb45db6b0fd2fc9694d84f3a3b73cba247b956c01a085305520d5773692a6342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.98 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 13,161$4,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,728.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 5,925$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 1,307$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 910.88$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.61 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 624.83$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.81 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 514$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 414.4$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 413.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 323.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 296.75$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 259.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 19c | 250.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Colorado Rockies | 28c | 209$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 201.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 187.69$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Colorado Rockies | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 125.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 76c | 122.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 114.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 107.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 103.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 87.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 79.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 71.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 70.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 64.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Colorado Rockies | 42c | 62.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 62.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 60.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 59.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Colorado Rockies | 39c | 55.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 48.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 48.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 42.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 34.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 30.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 30.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…9528backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 28.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 26.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…31b0backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-6.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.