TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$449,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$451,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $449,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under40c407,977$163,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244,786.0143647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Over60c300,000$180,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180,00023948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over60c93,847$56,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,308.1985645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over60c8,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under53c5,077$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.5511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40019053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c2,876$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.9112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over60c2,139$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.165,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c1,778$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.638,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over59c1,744$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.241,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Over44c1,253$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.3228453.9%153 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over24c1,229$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.352,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over61c1,191$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.244,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under59c1,127$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.713,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c995.77$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.9810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over60c880$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52889053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Over61c777.05$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47412848.4%62 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c769.58$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.798,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under60c761.78$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.661,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over46c753.37$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.862,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Over42c734.12$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.551450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15087750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over60c308$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.82245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over37c265.35$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1879255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over37c265.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1697050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over22c249.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.774,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over15c203$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.451,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under78c188$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.511,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over25c181.03$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.91,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee6b…accbbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037256.5%210 W · 162 L+1.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007850%39 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over38c162.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.351,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over38c162.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.351,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over34c159.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.445,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Over33c158.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2717446%80 W · 94 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ca…2d82backed Over61c151.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.314445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under73c151.15$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.418,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Under40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909639.6%38 W · 58 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over37c143.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.021,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over37c132.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.081,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Over30c122$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.626747.9%128 W · 139 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over60c111.15$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.692,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under42c102.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.413,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over40c98.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.136,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over38c95.32$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.416,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd292…07f8backed Over61c83.61$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513060%18 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…3691backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over38c81.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1844744.1%197 W · 250 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5aa…e292backed Under40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4810757.9%62 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over37c79.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4532450.9%165 W · 159 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387f…70a8backed Under76c76.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.392564%16 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0469…5eb0backed Over60c70$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4215549.7%77 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Over35c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.529242.5%124 W · 168 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over30c69.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under64c66.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9499744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406552.3%34 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Under62c64.59$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.595042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Over61c59.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368145.7%37 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under50c55.77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.041,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over61c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5526860.4%162 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…9611backed Over26c51.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.523040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef27…600fbacked Over61c51.48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.412260.7%74 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd47a…67fabacked Over61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd4…50bcbacked Over61c48.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.616261.3%38 W · 24 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over56c47.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.521,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over28c40.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6272655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over60c39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.425850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b31…b2a3backed Over61c38.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.56154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd80b…4d10backed Over58c37.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf35backed Over61c37.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.95644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Under40c35.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.17851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d52…6236backed Over60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e00…d2bfbacked Over61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205560%33 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c1e…1719backed Over61c32.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.842030%6 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Under62c28.83$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.988949.4%44 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af7…37e2backed Over60c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Over61c26.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94055%22 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4ce…41acbacked Under40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510158.4%59 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2191…a79cbacked Under73c24.8$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7832…9384backed Over61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d7…078dbacked Over61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ba…d4fbbacked Over61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ed66backed Over61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…4582backed Over61c21.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.121952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under66c20.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.994,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e08…cae4backed Under63c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.124443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Over60c18.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.112753.5%68 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under61c17.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5722848.2%110 W · 118 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3894…decfbacked Under77c14.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3437551.2%192 W · 183 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.