MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026d9a1cbfbfc9559e05e503d81903cc6c55fde5f95e6775ebc04fc49e482c67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 5,954$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.12 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 3,601$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 1,975$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,774$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.41 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 9c | 943.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 893.55$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.55 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 780.25$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.91 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 605.14$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 562.25$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.65 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 548.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 380$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.84 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 299$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Colorado Rockies | 43c | 273.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 269.13$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 261.82$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 254.68$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 225.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 222.15$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094d…5a65backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 125.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Colorado Rockies | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 97.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies | 55c | 96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 94.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 78.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 74.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 72.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 50.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Colorado Rockies | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 40.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 40.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…5382backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da6…1615backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 29.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 29.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Colorado Rockies | 38c | 28.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 77c | 22.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 937 | 73.5%689 W · 248 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…6ea2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 17.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-6.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.