Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa10eb2bf100a6ae9f4bfa68fb310d28326ac49fa9429d96796a131ec07efa60b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62cb…0b0dbacked No | 77c | 7,912$6,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 4c | 3,587$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 22c | 2,142$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.79 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,180$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.03 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,172$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes | 20c | 1,171$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.37 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bf6abacked Yes | 8c | 1,159$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 887.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 858.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 16c | 855.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…8c9bbacked Yes | 3c | 846.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 809.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc259…8208backed Yes | 30c | 543.82$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 9c | 518.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d13…f01ebacked Yes | 21c | 488.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…6f81backed Yes | 18c | 432.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…c37ebacked Yes | 31c | 340.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…a2ddbacked Yes | 30c | 337.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 335.31$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…9ff7backed Yes | 22c | 329.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 29c | 325.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b9…b439backed Yes | 31c | 307.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 26c | 307.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…8898backed Yes | 30c | 302.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 7c | 301.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…5beabacked Yes | 15c | 287.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 17c | 266.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fa…9f7bbacked No | 80c | 256.81$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…b95abacked Yes | 23c | 221.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…f847backed No | 70c | 214.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…5099backed Yes | 25c | 207.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…d62ebacked Yes | 25c | 205.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…d291backed Yes | 31c | 204.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 24c | 171$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 12c | 170.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba54…409fbacked Yes | 22c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd653…782bbacked Yes | 27c | 148.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…14fabacked Yes | 32c | 141.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x923e…ab45backed Yes | 25c | 138.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7013backed Yes | 8c | 134.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 10c | 124.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a3…81fabacked Yes | 33c | 121.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3e…91fdbacked Yes | 35c | 114.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 24c | 111.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 75c | 108.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 12c | 104.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…a5abbacked Yes | 19c | 103.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c08…445dbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…4fd7backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 23c | 97.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Yes | 31c | 96.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99b9…45adbacked Yes | 27c | 89.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed Yes | 16c | 84.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 19c | 79.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ef…0b34backed Yes | 32c | 78.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…9a42backed Yes | 27c | 73.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…0b33backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588f…07d7backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 33c | 43.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c2…f627backed Yes | 32c | 40.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…2856backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed No | 74c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 78c | 17.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.