Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c3bf60a78e87281241a3b4009991752b79c3c165216ae77f6a9608d2631488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,972$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.35 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 562.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 1,038 | 9.2%96 W · 942 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62cb…0b0dbacked No | 34c | 494.35$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 55c | 467.17$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.45 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…4652backed No | 77c | 396.68$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 3c | 302$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 66c | 300.76$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +200.2%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 66c | 292$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 183.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked No | 73c | 182.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 19c | 174.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 17c | 151.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 33c | 133.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked No | 70c | 123.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…77c2backed No | 74c | 121.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 74c | 107.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 30c | 103$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 41c | 92.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 26c | 88.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…53fcbacked Yes | 42c | 83.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 48c | 56.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked No | 67c | 53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…77d7backed Yes | 32c | 50.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…0b77backed Yes | 60c | 32.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 59c | 30.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 163 | 76.7%125 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e75…305ebacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…a53ebacked No | 73c | 18.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.2wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 66c | 15.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 68c | 15.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.