Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dffcbc56218b274c4ee89a57555b64b5974c668745b97f21f812a996c00ae39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb665…6d11backed Yes | 8c | 8,002$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,216$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.86 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 20c | 917.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…fcb9backed No | 68c | 879.82$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 860.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 58c | 579.56$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.76 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…014cbacked Yes | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked No | 68c | 422.72$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.45per pick | 44cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed No | 74c | 387.04$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…e352backed Yes | 33c | 300.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 34c | 300$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +200.2%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 66c | 297.83$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 271.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed Yes | 16c | 251.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 24c | 247.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 70c | 217.04$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 211.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…5ba3backed Yes | 6c | 182.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…05d7backed Yes | 23c | 161.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes | 78c | 155.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 21c | 107.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 31c | 91.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 29c | 91.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked No | 65c | 90.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked No | 71c | 89.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 21c | 82.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked No | 75c | 79.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 71c | 71.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked No | 73c | 63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…5beabacked Yes | 21c | 59.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 29c | 58.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…5551backed Yes | 37c | 54.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…77d7backed Yes | 21c | 51.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 31c | 51.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…6f81backed Yes | 39c | 48.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 71c | 45.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d13…f01ebacked Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 59c | 35.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…1523backed Yes | 43c | 32.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked Yes | 34c | 30.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Yes | 40c | 25.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…d62ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked No | 77c | 21.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4624…2827backed No | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a6…1a6abacked Yes | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.