Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x915a3b8fee72fc9a3c77b9bada8b7ed1af02dff2bb4fe13f2ade33c0d2611669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98c7…455cbacked Yes | 7c | 3,777$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 69c | 2,044$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.47 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…c7f1backed Yes | 16c | 1,656$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,358$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.16 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed No | 38c | 1,350$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.27 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…4652backed No | 28c | 921.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.79 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…a53ebacked No | 38c | 826.9$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.76 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.2wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 35c | 634.19$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.79 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 26c | 596.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.64 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 41c | 581.29$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.47 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 2c | 561.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 517$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 198 | 7.1%14 W · 184 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 37c | 431.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.01 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +200.2%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 6c | 386$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked No | 74c | 353.75$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 25c | 317.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.54 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ded…fbcdbacked No | 42c | 312.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.31 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked No | 29c | 267.56$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.06 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 29c | 246.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2178…aab5backed Yes | 5c | 233.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…b01ebacked Yes | 26c | 226.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 38c | 217.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 68c | 216$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.91 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 55c | 188$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed No | 29c | 155.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 59c | 135.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 28c | 129.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes | 70c | 115.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…1f7dbacked No | 19c | 112.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 26cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 72c | 108.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.45per pick | 44cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 70c | 90.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 33c | 85.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4faabacked No | 30c | 84.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +10.6wins | +0.29per pick | 15cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 22c | 82.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked No | 17c | 81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 52c | 68.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 67c | 66.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…f570backed No | 35c | 64.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 27c | 62.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 71c | 62.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 40c | 48.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 72c | 47.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 37c | 45.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…c8b1backed No | 33c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 63c | 42.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed No | 50c | 41.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…3bcbbacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed No | 42c | 36.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | +20.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…debabacked Yes | 60c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…77d7backed Yes | 68c | 34.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…6bd5backed Yes | 53c | 32.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 64c | 31.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 62c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed No | 35c | 28.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…0b8fbacked Yes | 79c | 23.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 72c | 22.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 162 | 76.5%124 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…fb3abacked Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.