Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc1c23e6b01435e0222e652f86ecc498a2d1680f0b63fec90f498418ee2f5a94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c2b…4ee9backed Yes | 41c | 4,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…dc85backed No | 58c | 4,000$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…cceabacked No | 60c | 4,000$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afa…0d11backed Yes | 43c | 4,000$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 42c | 3,001$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.81 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…cc90backed Yes | 40c | 2,300$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0808…23d3backed Yes | 42c | 2,200$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8a…daf0backed Yes | 40c | 2,100$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda96…d4c8backed Yes | 45c | 2,100$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe222…b4cbbacked Yes | 44c | 1,912$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.82 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…0571backed Yes | 40c | 1,900$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…3682backed Yes | 45c | 1,900$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…e41ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,800$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb793…8d80backed Yes | 40c | 1,700$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a1…4652backed No | 60c | 1,552$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.97 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +138.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 61c | 1,356$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.46 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 64c | 1,048$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.24 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5c…c056backed No | 63c | 687.89$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…a9efbacked No | 20c | 608.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 31cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…8d3cbacked Yes | 30c | 498.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…a53ebacked No | 51c | 487.31$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +5.2wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 60c | 433.89$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 37c | 350.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed Yes | 19c | 318.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…d61bbacked No | 54c | 287.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 68c | 264.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed No | 73c | 259.85$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 7c | 250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 49c | 246.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked No | 59c | 236.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…f5b7backed No | 61c | 222.32$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 36c | 210.59$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…fcb9backed No | 78c | 177$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed No | 38c | 172.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 42c | 169.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 186 | 37.6%70 W · 116 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 52c | 157.66$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 157.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 25c | 155.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed No | 63c | 152.37$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +6.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +200.2%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…e86dbacked No | 55c | 143.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe070…769fbacked No | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 25c | 127.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 54c | 123.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…5beabacked Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…971abacked No | 69c | 109.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…3871backed No | 55c | 108.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 30c | 106$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 165 | 16.4%27 W · 138 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…27bfbacked No | 67c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.45per pick | 44cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 35c | 104.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa145…6db6backed No | 20c | 101.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +408.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…122abacked Yes | 61c | 99.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…190bbacked Yes | 33c | 88.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 38c | 85.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 21c | 82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 47c | 72.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…a044backed Yes | 31c | 68.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…8481backed No | 68c | 66.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffbb…8581backed No | 60c | 66.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…05d7backed No | 55c | 60.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed Yes | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…aa05backed No | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +6.8wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeda5…e16dbacked No | 74c | 42.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 48c | 41.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 49c | 40.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed No | 66c | 37.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 71c | 33.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…77d7backed No | 66c | 25.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 73c | 25.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 52c | 21.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…5a2abacked No | 74c | 16.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.