TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,466 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Commodities
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes12c1,528$185 inLost-$185.167131%22 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-46.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc18b…3917backed Yes11c1,075$113 inLost-$112.8710126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd2…bcf5backed Yes7c886$62 inLost-$62.02425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick6cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c800$16 inLost-$161987.1%14 W · 184 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-69.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes3c710.02$21 inLost-$21.22934.1%12 W · 281 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed No46c418.39$192 inWon+$226.311100%11 W · 0 L+6.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+200.2%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes13c289.21$36 inLost-$36.185617.9%10 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa8f…d61bbacked No79c275.2$218 inWon+$57.651586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes22c222.32$49 inLost-$49.385125.5%13 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x539d…0213backed Yes31c198$61 inLost-$61.462128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid+47.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes21c179.8$38 inLost-$38.3426413.3%35 W · 229 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea9…fcb9backed No78c113.85$88 inWon+$25.595100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes15c97.47$15 inLost-$14.8134534.5%119 W · 226 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes32c95.26$30 inLost-$30.025429.6%16 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes53c92.02$48 inLost-$48.4530238.1%115 W · 187 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb8…77d7backed No66c86.32$57 inWon+$29.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes30c81.56$25 inLost-$24.641,0249.1%93 W · 931 L-25.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb02…05d7backed No73c64.94$47 inWon+$17.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7593…e677backed Yes39c60$24 inLost-$23.61553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb2…c640backed Yes36c50$18 inLost-$182360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda6…14fabacked Yes56c40$22 inLost-$22.4150%0 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes28c36.99$11 inLost-$10.535028%14 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No71c35.99$25 inWon+$10.5210866.7%72 W · 36 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3856…e543backed Yes76c31$23 inLost-$23.43540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842b…b366backed Yes46c30$14 inLost-$13.767930.4%24 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No72c23.27$17 inWon+$6.414973.5%36 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.