Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe381e4050ad2c5c356b28ec5ba7fafae427dce1e37e56040689e0482d2de0556
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 28c | 1,900$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,871$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd9…3399backed No | 72c | 1,579$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed Yes | 15c | 786.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…bcf5backed Yes | 5c | 554$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 6c | 472.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 28c | 448.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 19c | 379.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 360$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…37b3backed Yes | 20c | 334.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bf6abacked Yes | 22c | 274.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d75…c85fbacked Yes | 14c | 211.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bba…6f81backed Yes | 24c | 208.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 23c | 177.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked Yes | 16c | 145.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 12c | 140.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked Yes | 14c | 135.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 21c | 132$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 64c | 130.37$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…0338backed Yes | 17c | 121.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 17c | 118.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b741backed Yes | 10c | 109.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…77d7backed Yes | 17c | 88.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed Yes | 24c | 86.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 30c | 70.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 26c | 68.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…05d7backed No | 72c | 58.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…14fabacked Yes | 47c | 56.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 71c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69ef…0b34backed Yes | 58c | 46.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…a192backed Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes | 49c | 40.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…6b71backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caa…0520backed Yes | 59c | 35.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…2e70backed Yes | 60c | 35.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f02…3f39backed Yes | 60c | 35.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes | 46c | 34.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4459…c903backed Yes | 79c | 34.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18f…4c87backed Yes | 62c | 33.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed No | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed No | 76c | 24.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 74c | 17.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…3917backed No | 80c | 12.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.61 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.