NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8d9dd5b7a8b930c28f94b4baa7e82198fe601e2224040bffc6cf1cb2618fcf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Spurs, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Spurs | 34c | 18,825$6,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,380 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Spurs | 40c | 7,476$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Hornets | 79c | 6,571$5,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.21 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 60c | 5,483$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.94 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Hornets | 61c | 5,062$3,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.17 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Hornets | 58c | 4,926$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.09 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Hornets | 63c | 4,776$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.89 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Hornets | 62c | 4,617$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.13 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Spurs | 47c | 3,488$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.84 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 39c | 3,430$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.04 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Hornets | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Spurs | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Hornets | 44c | 2,959$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.04 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Spurs | 32c | 2,628$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.22 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Hornets | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.99 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4d…9871backed Hornets | 48c | 1,475$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd9…3dabbacked Spurs | 52c | 1,475$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Hornets | 56c | 1,427$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.41 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Spurs | 2c | 1,332$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Hornets | 47c | 1,201$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.38 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Spurs | 47c | 1,176$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Hornets | 61c | 1,001$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…2266backed Hornets | 67c | 902.12$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Hornets | 45c | 864.92$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.35 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed Hornets | 62c | 838.71$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Hornets | 60c | 836$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed Spurs | 40c | 836$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Spurs | 52c | 826.11$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.32 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b7febacked Spurs | 39c | 820.51$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Spurs | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.76 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Spurs | 38c | 794.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Spurs | 39c | 734.66$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.52 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Hornets | 62c | 660$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Spurs | 40c | 632.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Hornets | 63c | 581.13$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Spurs | 55c | 545.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Spurs | 44c | 506.32$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.47 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Hornets | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 76c | 496.07$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.92 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Spurs | 40c | 474.58$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Hornets | 50c | 425.56$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.74 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Hornets | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Spurs | 47c | 399.96$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Spurs | 39c | 357.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hornets | 69c | 330.59$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs | 51c | 295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Spurs | 41c | 282.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hornets | 46c | 279$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spurs | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…ae7cbacked Hornets | 62c | 241.39$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Spurs | 44c | 228.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Spurs | 45c | 224.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Spurs | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Spurs | 51c | 204.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Hornets | 56c | 202.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Spurs | 45c | 200.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Spurs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Spurs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…d536backed Spurs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…a72abacked Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…ed65backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…8717backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…8938backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed Hornets | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Hornets | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…bd65backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1379backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…88d1backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a5…81f4backed Spurs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…836cbacked Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…8c53backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…7f11backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…2883backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…aa23backed Hornets | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…d500backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…d4b5backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…12acbacked Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…aa96backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…7de9backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…910bbacked Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf783…7684backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…d317backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b01…aeb1backed Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…f9ccbacked Hornets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.