NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86e5774c7412660728de0f7381c70ce4e712c2441219fe98542ff25d479bc337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hornets | 22c | 53,851$11,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,679.71 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 26c | 34,827$8,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,988.81 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Hawks | 78c | 27,062$20,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,088.14 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…5fd7backed Hawks | 71c | 14,827$10,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,283.06 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Hawks | 80c | 13,495$10,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.13 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hawks | 78c | 10,884$8,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.69 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 25c | 10,069$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.52 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7704…48c5backed Hornets | 30c | 10,018$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…e185backed Hornets | 30c | 10,014$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…940abacked Hornets | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…88febacked Hawks | 70c | 9,986$6,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…3e91backed Hornets | 30c | 9,985$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…eb42backed Hawks | 70c | 9,981$6,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…7d58backed Hawks | 70c | 9,971$6,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…b250backed Hawks | 70c | 9,964$6,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets | 1c | 9,621$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 75c | 8,400$6,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.63 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Hawks | 75c | 8,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Hornets | 24c | 7,496$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.12 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Hawks | 80c | 6,000$4,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.3 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Hawks | 76c | 5,799$4,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.09 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Hornets | 27c | 5,624$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.91 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Hornets | 29c | 5,400$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.95 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 0c | 5,149$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hornets | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Hawks | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks | 80c | 4,695$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.73 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Hornets | 26c | 4,646$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.9 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 17c | 4,528$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets | 29c | 4,402$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.68 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks | 76c | 4,163$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.47 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 0c | 4,150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 30c | 4,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Hornets | 25c | 3,982$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.47 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…fa77backed Hawks | 74c | 3,849$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.79 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Hawks | 76c | 3,681$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.1 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Hornets | 27c | 3,265$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.6 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks | 71c | 3,000$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc116…a70abacked Hornets | 28c | 2,600$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Hornets | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks | 74c | 2,424$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.63 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Hawks | 70c | 2,327$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.02 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Hawks | 79c | 2,220$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.07 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets | 27c | 2,113$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.63 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Hornets | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Hawks | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Hawks | 79c | 1,908$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.75 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks | 75c | 1,842$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.47 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Hornets | 29c | 1,748$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.92 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…2e33backed Hawks | 69c | 1,616$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…5f7cbacked Hornets | 31c | 1,553$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Hawks | 70c | 1,552$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Hawks | 70c | 1,457$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.64 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea70…3c44backed Hawks | 70c | 1,433$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…d5bebacked Hawks | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…8c52backed Hawks | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Hawks | 73c | 1,288$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.71 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Hawks | 71c | 1,126$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.65 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Hornets | 2c | 1,122$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Hawks | 71c | 1,100$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.95 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…25b2backed Hornets | 2c | 1,080$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7004backed Hawks | 75c | 1,067$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets | 28c | 1,022$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.75 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…a994backed Hornets | 10c | 1,020$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5f…9ce2backed Hawks | 74c | 999.97$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Hawks | 73c | 999.96$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Hornets | 25c | 962.33$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.58 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b7febacked Hornets | 31c | 790.32$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…abe1backed Hawks | 71c | 781.27$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Hawks | 77c | 776.09$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…dac9backed Hornets | 31c | 754.84$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Hornets | 16c | 744.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Hawks | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Hawks | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…90d9backed Hornets | 31c | 677.42$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…462cbacked Hawks | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Hornets | 32c | 632.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Hawks | 75c | 630$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Hornets | 25c | 624.86$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Hornets | 7c | 614.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 27c | 605$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.08 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Hornets | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets | 27c | 582.96$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.39 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Hornets | 30c | 575.55$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Hawks | 70c | 570$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks | 75c | 533$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hawks | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Hawks | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Hawks | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Hawks | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Hawks | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks | 69c | 499.94$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Hornets | 26c | 466.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hornets | 24c | 465$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Hawks | 69c | 434.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Hawks | 74c | 427.93$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.26 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Hawks | 71c | 415$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Hornets | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.