TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,888 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,745 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Hurricanes65c38,876$25,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,566.837758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fad…1d0abacked Red Wings35c29,645$10,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,375.9714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-67.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76fe…c74cbacked Red Wings37c14,553$5,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,384.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Red Wings35c7,742$2,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.6131753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Red Wings34c6,830$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.368139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hurricanes65c6,300$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,208.1492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Hurricanes65c5,980$3,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.0422842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Red Wings37c5,405$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8523642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…09e5backed Red Wings36c4,079$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Hurricanes63c4,042$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.611450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ebf…6925backed Hurricanes64c3,090$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.41266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x793e…ca03backed Red Wings36c3,008$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings37c2,612$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.681,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x405c…0b11backed Hurricanes64c2,391$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc034…55f9backed Hurricanes64c2,369$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a2…f604backed Hurricanes64c2,327$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c40…583bbacked Red Wings34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings35c2,000$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69549351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Hurricanes66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6802669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Red Wings35c1,913$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.5511533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Red Wings36c1,805$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.83435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Red Wings5c1,537$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8232331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…ca8dbacked Red Wings36c1,502$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.721656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b2…b7febacked Hurricanes66c1,357$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Hurricanes66c1,269$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.4411352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hurricanes66c1,134$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6586…c69cbacked Red Wings36c1,118$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4940…0de1backed Red Wings36c1,075$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3871553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings23c1,060$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.323,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes64c999.14$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.1697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Red Wings34c883.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes62c837.48$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.731,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10c…9733backed Hurricanes63c790$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833e…eda2backed Red Wings37c790$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Red Wings5c737$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.858425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings37c547$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.91,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc639…997fbacked Red Wings36c513$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.681540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Red Wings35c507.33$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3216437.2%61 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Red Wings35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754725.5%12 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hurricanes62c499.96$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.9866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings36c405$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae29…2730backed Red Wings38c385.82$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.611650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d42…9b05backed Red Wings35c375.2$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.031656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa761…990ebacked Red Wings38c333.16$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.61844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Hurricanes63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11137254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Red Wings5c299.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Hurricanes66c294$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9624457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ce…2f7abacked Red Wings38c269.84$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.54728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Red Wings35c259.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5360549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3077…00b9backed Hurricanes65c253$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hurricanes65c248.41$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcae5…876dbacked Hurricanes64c228.81$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.372060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x824e…a9b6backed Red Wings38c226.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.921764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x438e…b01abacked Hurricanes63c201.9$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.72556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1f…0227backed Hurricanes64c201.86$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.672462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Red Wings38c193.58$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.562433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x143b…b2b4backed Hurricanes64c185.3$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.71875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf716…7667backed Red Wings37c178.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7a…34ebbacked Hurricanes63c176.98$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.482356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d28…b20ebacked Hurricanes64c175.02$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeba7…f213backed Hurricanes63c172.52$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.832352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be1…4a57backed Hurricanes51c172$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb297…24f0backed Hurricanes63c167.86$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.112263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Wings37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc220…de1cbacked Red Wings37c159.03$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+28.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hurricanes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a09…49d7backed Hurricanes66c158$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6f…b17fbacked Hurricanes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c21…9a6dbacked Hurricanes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Red Wings37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.511354%61 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7788…e7d7backed Red Wings37c148$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Red Wings37c145$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.358440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings8c143.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Red Wings37c141.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.338932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a43…fc65backed Red Wings37c135$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83e…c6b3backed Red Wings37c135$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc4…1dafbacked Red Wings37c135$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…5d26backed Red Wings37c135$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1fe…f683backed Red Wings37c134$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…54bdbacked Red Wings37c134$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf59…d7bdbacked Red Wings37c133$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…705fbacked Red Wings37c133$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Hurricanes65c132.69$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.843852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x218f…ed5abacked Red Wings37c132$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb34…1920backed Red Wings37c132$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf85…b713backed Red Wings37c132$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfab9…5607backed Red Wings37c132$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x279d…118fbacked Red Wings37c132$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9324…ea06backed Red Wings37c132$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…126ebacked Red Wings37c132$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd805…d9b2backed Red Wings37c131$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf151…bdc4backed Red Wings37c131$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb1…fa2bbacked Red Wings37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa84…b732backed Red Wings37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5da…8d1cbacked Red Wings37c130$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24e…5f67backed Red Wings37c129$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ed…4f00backed Red Wings37c129$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1349…bf86backed Red Wings37c129$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.