Ukraine · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39781ed710735b6a3f9d9533d11bf544576241de971138cd4c35b57442d1392d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc83…e1aabacked Yes | 0c | 9,678$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 4c | 4,218$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.3 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…f251backed Yes | 1c | 3,004$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,364$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa893…7ca1backed No | 80c | 2,291$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 11c | 2,033$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.21 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…0f53backed Yes | 1c | 2,004$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,875$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.83 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,200$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.7 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 26c | 1,145$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.71 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,008$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 999.98$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked Yes | 19c | 995$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 989.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 69c | 960.3$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 13c | 861.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 4c | 832.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -95.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…26c8backed Yes | 21c | 786.63$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 17c | 689.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed No | 78c | 640$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 3c | 631.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 18c | 629.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…5459backed Yes | 8c | 599.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 18c | 588.9$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 19c | 537$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 21c | 500$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 24c | 468.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.44 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7cdfbacked Yes | 16c | 464.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 6c | 454.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed Yes | 24c | 422.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…39ecbacked Yes | 8c | 417.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 17c | 392.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…99bcbacked Yes | 26c | 384.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked No | 73c | 379.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 335.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 86 | 4.7%4 W · 82 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -87%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 21c | 320$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 11c | 304.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…a628backed Yes | 22c | 302.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 73c | 280$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 214 | 26.2%56 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 22c | 276.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…f42ebacked No | 79c | 252.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 28c | 247.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…a0e2backed Yes | 17c | 237$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…84c5backed Yes | 5c | 214.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…7276backed No | 80c | 214$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…277bbacked Yes | 20c | 203$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 13c | 181.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…4bb1backed Yes | 34c | 176.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked Yes | 20c | 174$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…e998backed No | 77c | 165.17$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…e0debacked No | 70c | 150.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 7c | 144.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +307.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc9…d07ebacked Yes | 20c | 137.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked No | 68c | 120.01$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…6e86backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 24c | 79.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 294 | 16%47 W · 247 L | -53.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…1e2fbacked No | 79c | 70.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…43febacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 65.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…d26bbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b7febacked Yes | 28c | 60.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…9f6cbacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 68c | 55.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…d6a7backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7c…c08ebacked No | 78c | 49.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…4be6backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…874bbacked No | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17df…04d3backed Yes | 37c | 40.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…5afabacked No | 80c | 31.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ca…ee47backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…ba17backed No | 77c | 28.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d7…0b5ebacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 75c | 25.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0165backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed No | 62c | 24.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea2…61e2backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…c87abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…2c6fbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6e…4767backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed No | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +198%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 80c | 15.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.