TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Senators, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,652
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,644

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,652 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Senators68c19,857$13,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,424.687758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blackhawks32c5,361$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.5192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Blackhawks33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks32c2,718$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.331,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Blackhawks32c2,083$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.5611533%38 W · 77 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blackhawks32c1,953$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.2772847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks32c1,759$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.8964242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Blackhawks33c1,727$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.642445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Blackhawks33c1,669$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55523761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Senators62c1,603$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.2611051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…b955backed Blackhawks34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked Senators66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Blackhawks32c1,197$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.6722842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blackhawks32c1,024$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.681,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators64c847.38$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.83,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Blackhawks32c609.01$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1549351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Blackhawks31c599.9$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9751044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3f…3aa3backed Blackhawks41c555$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Senators56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blackhawks32c499.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2487…6530backed Senators66c491.2$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa264…1e5dbacked Blackhawks34c491.2$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.01714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-75.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Senators66c455.68$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.935957.6%34 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Blackhawks41c428.5$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks31c404.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9272444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Senators69c402.07$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6497955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…6355backed Blackhawks34c330$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…15eabacked Blackhawks31c322.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Senators67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff3…59dabacked Senators74c300$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Blackhawks20c256$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Blackhawks33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.54450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e8…5244backed Senators66c242$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Senators67c223.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e2…2f3ebacked Senators71c212.96$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-46.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x722f…c5cdbacked Senators65c209$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca4…f4fdbacked Blackhawks35c209$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blackhawks32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6481846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Senators64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators67c193.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3061…dd00backed Blackhawks44c191.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.491662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blackhawks33c182$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0660549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee06…80bdbacked Blackhawks32c181.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.11540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f52…6ff2backed Blackhawks34c170.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.091827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5240backed Blackhawks34c162.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.722240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc845…9175backed Blackhawks32c156.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b74…2bc1backed Senators66c155$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24b6…e624backed Blackhawks34c155$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.71050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x261c…6b74backed Senators70c152.57$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.392050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0127…7addbacked Senators66c151$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe102…8235backed Blackhawks34c151$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.341346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Senators66c150.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6116554.5%90 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba7…a0edbacked Blackhawks32c148.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa51d…fcb3backed Blackhawks31c147.9$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8243…fd27backed Blackhawks32c147.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfc…ec79backed Blackhawks32c141.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a5…cc81backed Blackhawks32c141.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c91…c5f9backed Senators64c139.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.29450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Blackhawks31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1420942.6%89 W · 120 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeb2…6507backed Blackhawks32c125.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.271546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…1387backed Blackhawks33c125.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.862259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3de…12a5backed Blackhawks34c122.77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1268…94e0backed Blackhawks33c121.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.985440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e1c…06c9backed Blackhawks42c119.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505940.7%24 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Blackhawks33c116.54$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4634032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8219…22c9backed Blackhawks34c114$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a6…86c9backed Senators73c110$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.27962%49 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18dc…6e79backed Blackhawks33c108.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.752653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0755…b1fdbacked Blackhawks32c106.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.232070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2d86…f0bbbacked Senators68c102.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Senators67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3335154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bd…6f36backed Blackhawks35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Blackhawks33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3328542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Senators78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223461.8%21 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Blackhawks33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc5…01d5backed Senators67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29ed…1f3cbacked Senators70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Blackhawks31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3127643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf642…17f9backed Blackhawks35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c71…72b8backed Blackhawks35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2820…3d76backed Senators66c99.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d9…36e6backed Senators68c99.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.991353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c2…b88cbacked Senators68c99.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Blackhawks31c99.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa181…6eb9backed Senators66c99.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.991361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4848…c4c4backed Senators68c99.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a85…af6ebacked Blackhawks34c94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0dd…e156backed Blackhawks33c89.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.462240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaed…7de0backed Blackhawks34c86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb4…0215backed Blackhawks33c84.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.91650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…a78fbacked Senators69c83.25$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.812458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe4…c6a2backed Senators69c83.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.752055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd914…a7e3backed Senators70c82.85$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.531560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb0…823fbacked Senators69c82.23$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.491560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadab…2f80backed Senators67c82.09$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.09580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd176…3db6backed Blackhawks37c81.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6641…1b51backed Senators66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Blackhawks31c80$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.19352.7%49 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.