MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45aa66c6cfc478704851643948ec20dee8d866ff304f7bfaa2b7e776dc68321a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Nationals, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Cardinals | 57c | 22,555$12,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,698.46 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Nationals | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Nationals | 43c | 6,664$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.46 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Cardinals | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nationals | 43c | 3,496$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.47 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Nationals | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Nationals | 43c | 2,800$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cardinals | 57c | 2,345$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.35 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…cc0dbacked Nationals | 44c | 2,300$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Cardinals | 56c | 2,250$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 1c | 2,038$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 16c | 1,879$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 26c | 1,859$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc4…ff28backed Cardinals | 56c | 1,850$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…eefdbacked Nationals | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 42c | 1,055$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Nationals | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Nationals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Nationals | 44c | 925.81$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.36 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 17c | 918.01$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked Nationals | 23c | 823.62$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Cardinals | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cardinals | 56c | 699.33$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.71 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Cardinals | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Nationals | 32c | 637.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.42 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…3032backed Nationals | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 44c | 499.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.82 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Nationals | 43c | 496.51$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Cardinals | 58c | 438.21$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.21 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cardinals | 58c | 404.12$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.66 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cardinals | 57c | 390.78$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Nationals | 44c | 360$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Cardinals | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 72c | 231.09$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 69c | 231$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 45c | 223.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 57c | 222.81$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 43c | 220.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nationals | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Nationals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Nationals | 43c | 179.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…8a1fbacked Cardinals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cardinals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cardinals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cardinals | 57c | 174.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 43c | 171.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 56c | 169.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 24c | 168.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Cardinals | 58c | 167.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Nationals | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals | 56c | 121$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Nationals | 19c | 115.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nationals | 44c | 113$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Nationals | 44c | 108.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…7c9ebacked Nationals | 44c | 103.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Nationals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Nationals | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nationals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Cardinals | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Nationals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…a81ebacked Nationals | 44c | 99.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Nationals | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Cardinals | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cardinals | 78c | 88.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 44c | 80.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 80.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Nationals | 17c | 79.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Nationals | 45c | 77.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c6…51b1backed Cardinals | 57c | 74.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf489…d482backed Cardinals | 57c | 71.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…c317backed Cardinals | 57c | 70.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Nationals | 44c | 62.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…5ea7backed Cardinals | 57c | 59.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…ec05backed Cardinals | 57c | 55.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…ef96backed Cardinals | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Nationals | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…06a8backed Cardinals | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…4e58backed Nationals | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…7deebacked Cardinals | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…8652backed Cardinals | 69c | 47.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Nationals | 44c | 40.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Cardinals | 60c | 39.19$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…773dbacked Nationals | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.