Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b6c8b8139370d4a19e30eb54e59f3231e4372a2c30ac2ab0d2721604f24d8bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 48c | 24,028$11,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,391.17 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 21c | 9,618$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.48 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Yes | 56c | 8,018$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,462.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…16adbacked No | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,210$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 46c | 3,134$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.23 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 47c | 3,044$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.96 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…4920backed Yes | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 56c | 2,565$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed Yes | 53c | 1,868$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…fc1cbacked No | 47c | 1,860$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 42c | 1,770$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.61 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…4056backed Yes | 55c | 1,763$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 47c | 1,500$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.48 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,374$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.4 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed Yes | 79c | 1,143$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48a…f068backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 54c | 971.28$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x359b…12aebacked Yes | 74c | 964.91$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 55c | 904.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 50c | 799.96$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.08 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked No | 48c | 625.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…fbbabacked Yes | 53c | 568.68$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Yes | 47c | 554$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed No | 50c | 508.94$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…999fbacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 53c | 499.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed No | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Yes | 48c | 410.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 7c | 395.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 50c | 380.72$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.36 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked Yes | 54c | 376.28$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…dc53backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e2…b07dbacked Yes | 53c | 351.45$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f18cbacked Yes | 21c | 322.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Yes | 57c | 283.28$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…e8b9backed Yes | 57c | 263.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 54c | 241.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 49c | 234.94$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 57c | 225.16$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 52c | 212.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 43c | 210$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 45c | 203$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…548fbacked No | 47c | 202.83$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…89c4backed Yes | 53c | 190.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…58fcbacked No | 48c | 189.85$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4508…9134backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…80dabacked Yes | 54c | 184.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…ec05backed Yes | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…990ebacked No | 47c | 181.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Yes | 55c | 181.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…3b5fbacked Yes | 54c | 180.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcae5…876dbacked No | 48c | 179.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +143%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…24f0backed No | 47c | 177.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fd…481fbacked Yes | 54c | 176.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe4…c6a2backed Yes | 54c | 176.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…b5efbacked Yes | 54c | 175.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…b489backed Yes | 54c | 173.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…bf79backed No | 47c | 169.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 54c | 169.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…3ef3backed Yes | 54c | 166.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…f213backed Yes | 54c | 166.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…b2b4backed No | 47c | 166.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…576bbacked No | 47c | 165.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed No | 47c | 164.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4022…46b6backed No | 48c | 163.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…b190backed No | 47c | 162.28$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…1b33backed Yes | 54c | 162.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4b…c5d4backed No | 47c | 162.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…6ed6backed No | 47c | 160.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…f5bfbacked Yes | 54c | 159.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…6060backed Yes | 54c | 159.61$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…22cfbacked No | 47c | 158.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…d2a7backed Yes | 54c | 157.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a5b0backed No | 47c | 157.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…0227backed No | 47c | 153.53$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ec…56f4backed Yes | 53c | 153.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…0985backed No | 48c | 150.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.