Champions League · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x048374a28e4ff552bef4c8b783b211f91c7b3b989888d764b327d338402898fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Yes | 22c | 10,017$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 15c | 7,348$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.25 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 77c | 5,771$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.38 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 24c | 4,191$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 24c | 4,162$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 3,050$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 77c | 1,952$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.04 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Yes | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 11c | 1,872$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.85 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked No | 78c | 1,809$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 23c | 1,705$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 13cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 77c | 1,460$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.95 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 77c | 1,048$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.97 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,029$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f18cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…8e24backed Yes | 16c | 775$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +583.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Yes | 3c | 739.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes | 3c | 739.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 77c | 503.83$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 78c | 453.48$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Yes | 9c | 330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 76c | 314.67$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 7c | 310$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 22c | 304.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 79c | 301.86$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 77c | 229.16$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 77c | 207.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 24c | 202.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 23c | 186.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 76c | 179.37$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 24c | 175.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed No | 79c | 171.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked No | 78c | 168$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 77c | 162$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 151.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 76c | 126.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 18c | 116.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 78c | 115.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a5…252abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…21f8backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…4e58backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…cb54backed No | 79c | 70.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ab…c382backed Yes | 24c | 44.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…8ef2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 175 | 60%105 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3726backed No | 78c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…3a76backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-02-19?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.