NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27be610ed06f165497452fe4fd5f355a1fc60775e46f48df8630a3dd0120e4c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Wizards, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $792,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $858,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $792,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 685 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Raptors | 5c | 380,166$18,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,206.31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raptors | 64c | 58,829$37,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,789.87 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Wizards | 37c | 32,815$12,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,795.58 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors | 62c | 10,930$6,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,774.3 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 58c | 10,669$6,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Wizards | 72c | 9,270$6,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.25 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 43c | 9,168$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.72 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 68c | 7,908$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.29 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Raptors | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 40c | 7,473$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.66 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Raptors | 45c | 6,021$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.95 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Wizards | 62c | 6,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Wizards | 40c | 5,056$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.99 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Wizards | 69c | 4,203$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.9 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Wizards | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…f950backed Raptors | 1c | 4,080$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 40c | 3,700$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.15 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 39c | 3,685$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.21 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 1c | 3,492$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.2 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 54c | 3,265$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.81 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 37c | 3,080$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.69 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Raptors | 62c | 2,880$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.41 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…326bbacked Wizards | 57c | 2,657$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 60c | 2,628$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.12 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 52c | 2,481$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.72 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Raptors | 57c | 2,441$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 38c | 2,316$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…3895backed Wizards | 38c | 2,153$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Raptors | 62c | 2,130$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.9 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Raptors | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.92 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Raptors | 62c | 2,000$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.6 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Wizards | 1c | 1,986$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.98 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Wizards | 41c | 1,971$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.72 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Raptors | 41c | 1,800$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.11 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Wizards | 37c | 1,545$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.19 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Raptors | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Wizards | 39c | 1,498$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Raptors | 63c | 1,496$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.41 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Wizards | 36c | 1,491$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.85 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…dac9backed Raptors | 64c | 1,411$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…2b45backed Raptors | 63c | 1,339$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Wizards | 40c | 1,155$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.95 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 37c | 1,113$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.34 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb63backed Raptors | 65c | 1,077$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…0870backed Raptors | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Wizards | 37c | 1,025$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.75 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Wizards | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Wizards | 71c | 997$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.4 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raptors | 55c | 906.04$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.04 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Raptors | 57c | 900$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 60c | 863.5$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.1 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 47c | 851.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.26 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Raptors | 62c | 822.5$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.95 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Wizards | 61c | 816.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wizards | 37c | 810.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.92 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Raptors | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Wizards | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 52c | 732$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.36 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Raptors | 62c | 699.98$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Wizards | 38c | 698.5$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.07 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…9770backed Wizards | 36c | 685.69$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wizards | 38c | 637.9$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.11 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Wizards | 40c | 630$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Raptors | 32c | 626.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Raptors | 61c | 625$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 47c | 608.64$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.66 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Raptors | 61c | 599.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.99 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Raptors | 62c | 588.07$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.47 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1097…842ebacked Raptors | 64c | 578.12$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Raptors | 28c | 544.84$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.37 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Raptors | 30c | 532.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Wizards | 63c | 518.78$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.35 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Wizards | 43c | 502.33$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.33 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Wizards | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Raptors | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Wizards | 37c | 444$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f5…216bbacked Raptors | 19c | 444$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 37c | 405$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.15 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Raptors | 64c | 400$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Wizards | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Wizards | 51c | 391.58$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.28 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 10c | 391.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wizards | 34c | 371.23$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.52 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Raptors | 62c | 364.36$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked Wizards | 38c | 349.98$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.99 | 178 | 46.1%82 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…bb46backed Raptors | 43c | 346.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Raptors | 63c | 317.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Raptors | 63c | 314.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2b…aab9backed Raptors | 61c | 312.82$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.82 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Raptors | 64c | 311.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15c…e6e4backed Raptors | 49c | 306.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 36c | 305$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.68 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards | 40c | 300$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Wizards | 72c | 299.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Raptors | 61c | 299.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.79 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Raptors | 63c | 296.43$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.75 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Raptors | 79c | 289.85$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.98 | 177 | 69.5%123 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 37c | 271.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Raptors | 60c | 268.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.