NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf4baa5c90a5ef23bcd10349358e0d599ebac81500d892eceedbcf3bbf83c25b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Pacers, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 772 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Bucks | 67c | 13,020$8,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,257.16 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pacers | 17c | 10,772$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.19 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Pacers | 24c | 10,283$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.29 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers | 2c | 8,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 39c | 7,712$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.75 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 34c | 7,208$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.88 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers | 19c | 6,306$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…52a2backed Pacers | 35c | 6,170$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Pacers | 12c | 5,540$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.06 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 61c | 5,002$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.75 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 37c | 5,001$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.48 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers | 1c | 5,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pacers | 39c | 4,960$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.36 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Pacers | 33c | 4,589$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.48 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Pacers | 3c | 4,100$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pacers | 33c | 3,137$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.72 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pacers | 32c | 2,676$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.43 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Bucks | 71c | 2,547$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.76 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Pacers | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Bucks | 67c | 2,301$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.33 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers | 3c | 2,270$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 66c | 2,255$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.99 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Pacers | 1c | 2,244$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pacers | 1c | 2,131$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Bucks | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Pacers | 2c | 2,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Pacers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks | 63c | 2,000$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Pacers | 25c | 1,953$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Pacers | 33c | 1,798$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.42 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pacers | 1c | 1,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Bucks | 72c | 1,593$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.99 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Bucks | 67c | 1,503$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Pacers | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…a3cbbacked Bucks | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Bucks | 75c | 1,330$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…160fbacked Pacers | 40c | 1,330$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 64c | 1,320$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.51 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks | 67c | 1,287$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.2 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks | 64c | 1,236$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.55 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pacers | 12c | 1,210$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…cd24backed Pacers | 42c | 1,110$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers | 33c | 1,095$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.56 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…5fb3backed Pacers | 40c | 1,050$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 61c | 999.98$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.49 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8269…e438backed Bucks | 62c | 889$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Bucks | 60c | 833.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.05 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Bucks | 77c | 829.96$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Bucks | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Bucks | 62c | 771.38$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Bucks | 64c | 765.3$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.26 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Bucks | 66c | 756.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.35 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Pacers | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 67c | 693.09$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.58 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Bucks | 65c | 684.98$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.34 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pacers | 25c | 633.89$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Pacers | 32c | 603.38$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Bucks | 69c | 599.99$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 384 | 64.3%247 W · 137 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers | 35c | 599.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…312dbacked Pacers | 41c | 594.87$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 65c | 568.14$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.03 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Bucks | 65c | 544.12$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Bucks | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pacers | 38c | 524.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Pacers | 39c | 518.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Bucks | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Bucks | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Pacers | 14c | 499.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Pacers | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf94…51ccbacked Bucks | 58c | 470$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Pacers | 28c | 468.59$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pacers | 21c | 463.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Pacers | 29c | 460.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Bucks | 66c | 443.39$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.66 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bucks | 60c | 443$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks | 58c | 442$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks | 74c | 427.24$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Pacers | 31c | 420$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Pacers | 22c | 399.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…eb0abacked Pacers | 35c | 375.66$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bucks | 62c | 362.18$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…9bd1backed Bucks | 71c | 353.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…bde1backed Pacers | 34c | 350.24$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Bucks | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Pacers | 29c | 330.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pacers | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…c018backed Pacers | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Pacers | 34c | 301.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pacers | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…9ec2backed Bucks | 61c | 296.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…dc04backed Pacers | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Pacers | 35c | 287.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…a6bebacked Pacers | 34c | 273.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Bucks | 73c | 266.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…b489backed Pacers | 34c | 260.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecd…1a58backed Bucks | 75c | 254$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x826a…8a45backed Pacers | 6c | 204.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.