NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51eec11fab0b826be5fc23f10c48ece7518bbbd7173bb0e2ae9133ca4a5ee821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Golden Knights, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd235…dffebacked Golden Knights | 64c | 97,000$62,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…807ebacked Penguins | 36c | 97,000$34,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,080 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 36c | 3,572$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.91 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 3,130$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penguins | 35c | 2,404$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.33 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Penguins | 59c | 2,328$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.14 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Golden Knights | 35c | 2,208$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Golden Knights | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 35c | 1,972$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.46 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Penguins | 35c | 1,703$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.08 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Golden Knights | 65c | 1,502$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…a1d9backed Penguins | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Golden Knights | 36c | 1,396$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 66c | 1,355$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.21 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Penguins | 34c | 1,308$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.13 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Penguins | 37c | 1,239$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.72 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Penguins | 36c | 1,132$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.59 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…3589backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,097$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights | 65c | 828.65$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.5 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 699.99$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Golden Knights | 24c | 617.06$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.03 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 35c | 599.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.94 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 516.59$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.62 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Penguins | 36c | 510$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 34c | 509.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.53 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Golden Knights | 26c | 500$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Golden Knights | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…2449backed Penguins | 35c | 485.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…8b7fbacked Penguins | 34c | 485.29$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…6fd0backed Penguins | 34c | 441.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.55 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Golden Knights | 65c | 425.97$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.88 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…b735backed Golden Knights | 67c | 408.15$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Penguins | 36c | 403$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.92 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Golden Knights | 65c | 384.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights | 64c | 383.56$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.05 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…27dbbacked Penguins | 78c | 320.53$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Golden Knights | 67c | 303$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Penguins | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Penguins | 35c | 299.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Penguins | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Penguins | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…3651backed Penguins | 34c | 258$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…37cdbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 258$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…1846backed Golden Knights | 67c | 253.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fb…783fbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 252.05$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…b723backed Penguins | 34c | 238$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…1a0dbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 238$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…1a89backed Penguins | 35c | 236.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c6…51b1backed Penguins | 35c | 236.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…b5efbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 233.42$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706d…0f3cbacked Penguins | 37c | 203.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Golden Knights | 57c | 200.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Golden Knights | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…2dcebacked Penguins | 35c | 195.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…8f02backed Golden Knights | 66c | 189.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…bf79backed Golden Knights | 66c | 185.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…2730backed Penguins | 35c | 177.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…b01abacked Penguins | 35c | 173.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fe…e8b4backed Penguins | 37c | 170.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf7…7a24backed Golden Knights | 64c | 170$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…1a9dbacked Penguins | 36c | 170$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1417…26dabacked Golden Knights | 47c | 168.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Penguins | 37c | 160.49$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Penguins | 68c | 160.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Penguins | 36c | 154.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Golden Knights | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…bec9backed Golden Knights | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…d87fbacked Penguins | 37c | 149.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Penguins | 61c | 149.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Penguins | 58c | 148.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…a3e6backed Golden Knights | 66c | 143.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 35c | 142.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Penguins | 35c | 140.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb9…ee09backed Golden Knights | 66c | 140.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Golden Knights | 26c | 136$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…a1d1backed Penguins | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…452dbacked Penguins | 37c | 127$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de4…548fbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 121.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b74backed Penguins | 37c | 120.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…3624backed Golden Knights | 66c | 119.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…6d9bbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 118.31$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb34e…c317backed Golden Knights | 66c | 112.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…f11cbacked Penguins | 37c | 107.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf426…152fbacked Golden Knights | 65c | 105.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec1d…c32abacked Golden Knights | 65c | 100.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Golden Knights | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Golden Knights | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Penguins | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Golden Knights | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Penguins | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…f929backed Golden Knights | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea6…0d85backed Golden Knights | 65c | 99.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb8…95b8backed Golden Knights | 65c | 98.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…18b7backed Golden Knights | 65c | 92.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…53b1backed Penguins | 37c | 90.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.