NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdd1270491db398d4e6798522fa4ed4af07de47d2da267316f82aab20e56e5dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Capitals, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 49c | 2,016$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.93 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Capitals | 51c | 2,000$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Capitals | 48c | 1,889$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.71 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Senators | 51c | 1,814$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Senators | 50c | 1,702$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.9 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Senators | 53c | 1,364$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.79 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 49c | 1,277$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.25 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 46c | 1,199$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.88 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 51c | 1,081$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.01 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Capitals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Capitals | 52c | 849.91$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.71 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Capitals | 50c | 801.99$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Senators | 50c | 600.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Senators | 50c | 583.23$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.61 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Senators | 50c | 543.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.86 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Capitals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Senators | 54c | 367.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators | 49c | 353.13$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05db…5676backed Capitals | 51c | 311.38$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 48c | 300$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 48c | 299.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.72 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc048…022cbacked Capitals | 50c | 231.28$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ac…4285backed Senators | 51c | 231.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3660…761fbacked Senators | 50c | 221.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…57babacked Capitals | 52c | 221.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0648…0928backed Capitals | 52c | 219.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…d05dbacked Senators | 50c | 218.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0c…31f7backed Senators | 50c | 216.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8831…e807backed Capitals | 52c | 216.15$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…6803backed Senators | 50c | 212$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…0f27backed Capitals | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…67dcbacked Senators | 50c | 210.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…c946backed Capitals | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…36e8backed Capitals | 51c | 208.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…cf0dbacked Capitals | 52c | 208.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 50c | 208.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502d…2583backed Senators | 50c | 208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608d…8cadbacked Senators | 51c | 204.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad5…839dbacked Capitals | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…14d4backed Senators | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…779abacked Senators | 52c | 203.88$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…a684backed Senators | 50c | 203.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…7561backed Capitals | 50c | 203.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…6658backed Capitals | 50c | 203.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba6…cccabacked Senators | 51c | 203.1$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574a…bfcbbacked Senators | 51c | 202.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…cd3cbacked Capitals | 51c | 202.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae2…f962backed Senators | 51c | 202$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f9…fcd3backed Capitals | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af7…b3dfbacked Capitals | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…23d7backed Capitals | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4376…a519backed Capitals | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7b…9d30backed Capitals | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24b…cdc4backed Capitals | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…d381backed Capitals | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…eeb9backed Senators | 51c | 202$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd005…5ea9backed Senators | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…e5eebacked Senators | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0447…000ebacked Senators | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Capitals | 49c | 196.26$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Senators | 50c | 178.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Capitals | 51c | 177.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Senators | 59c | 171.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…4ca7backed Capitals | 55c | 144.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…aadebacked Capitals | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…7b55backed Capitals | 49c | 123.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Senators | 49c | 122.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf793…e464backed Capitals | 51c | 117.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…d471backed Senators | 50c | 115.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1c…18e9backed Capitals | 51c | 112.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d0…fea8backed Senators | 50c | 108.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…f060backed Senators | 51c | 106.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…b659backed Capitals | 51c | 106.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bf…deaebacked Capitals | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…fc79backed Capitals | 51c | 105.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf789…7702backed Capitals | 51c | 104.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb92e…7ca7backed Capitals | 51c | 104.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…7175backed Senators | 50c | 102.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…d96fbacked Senators | 50c | 102.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…a204backed Senators | 50c | 102.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Capitals | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Capitals | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Capitals | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 42c | 96.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Capitals | 51c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6e…f1d6backed Senators | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Senators | 54c | 82.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Capitals | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…8760backed Capitals | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 55c | 72.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 52c | 70.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Capitals | 52c | 62.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…2f00backed Capitals | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Senators | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Senators | 49c | 48.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…97fcbacked Senators | 50c | 46.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.