TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Braves vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Braves, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa974…ef79backed Mets58c17,244$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,244.2122047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033b…2f6bbacked Braves21c16,048$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.322725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Mets56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.9414648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves42c11,477$4,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,820.281,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Mets62c10,424$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.586450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Mets57c8,957$5,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,851.3724551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mets78c7,742$6,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.281,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Braves43c5,346$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.5826355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4caa…d4f7backed Mets57c5,263$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Mets75c4,822$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.8954345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e4…b351backed Mets57c4,737$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Braves44c3,917$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.481,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6108…4cb5backed Braves43c3,725$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…fc15backed Braves43c3,490$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Braves43c2,987$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.51,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb33…c6cfbacked Braves43c2,792$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Braves37c2,713$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9238444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves42c2,335$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.72,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b3…bfdbbacked Braves44c2,100$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Braves44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8806845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5270…867dbacked Braves44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Braves52c1,907$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea05…1a54backed Braves44c1,900$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Braves44c1,802$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.0970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00af…560dbacked Braves44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a81…64dabacked Mets56c1,750$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Braves44c1,552$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68314453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7a…2170backed Mets56c1,550$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Braves36c1,541$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55441747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x680e…8aa8backed Braves44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd08c…5494backed Mets56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x245c…aadabacked Braves44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7404…c062backed Braves44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ab…e432backed Braves44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Braves44c1,328$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.1743247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e08…7193backed Mets56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306a…a733backed Mets56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab7…f4ddbacked Mets56c1,213$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Braves53c1,203$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.762,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3674…77d5backed Braves44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Braves43c1,200$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51616349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets55c1,163$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.551,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x173c…5db5backed Braves44c1,155$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b14…f682backed Braves44c1,147$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e8…0bdbbacked Braves44c1,141$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets79c1,116$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.119,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c47…45b6backed Mets56c1,100$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d7…6f3ebacked Mets56c1,089$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8254…d536backed Mets56c1,089$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8276…a06fbacked Mets56c1,064$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b9…3b2fbacked Mets56c1,061$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0074…8559backed Mets56c1,036$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.84850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7013…2c27backed Mets56c1,036$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.84966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4b3…8e12backed Braves44c1,009$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Braves6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609535.8%34 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be8…8df9backed Mets56c982$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.08850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf88…52d4backed Mets56c964$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Braves45c950$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4249447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37d6…9528backed Mets56c918$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34cb…df96backed Mets56c900$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Braves17c872$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1647745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mets56c836$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.8423455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Braves42c824$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0850843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Braves36c819.61$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.396133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ef…5d6bbacked Braves44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbea2…41f2backed Mets56c800$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Braves42c782$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4424547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Braves42c774.63$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.351,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Braves22c769.1$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.116,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Braves30c754$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.761,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Braves43c749.97$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.4930850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Mets78c747.59$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.478042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Braves44c699.99$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Braves5c634.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.621246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Braves44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0744…6b29backed Braves44c568$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Braves42c523$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.6644443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.842452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea7b…09fbbacked Braves44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+56.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x095a…2400backed Mets48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Braves44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Braves43c371.62$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.851347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Braves30c350.69$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0273149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Braves43c349.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.481,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Braves47c345$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6517946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Mets56c344.99$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.824253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Braves6c340.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb25…ce36backed Mets56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Mets57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12914649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Braves44c299.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves44c299.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Braves43c299.97$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9741…7956backed Mets56c268$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Mets57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.169759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Mets57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1663052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves43c235.91$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.934,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mets44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Braves45c225$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.251,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mets57c222.81$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Braves44c219.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.751,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.