NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ffb37a26a1915d31f92a7dc2bbce2de612f859e8ab76b50d4c016e84bdbc5ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Lightning | 47c | 12,937$6,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,870.98 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lightning | 50c | 7,978$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.37 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…9ac8backed Stars | 49c | 6,126$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stars | 46c | 5,506$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.94 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Lightning | 53c | 4,194$2,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.86 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 47c | 2,812$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Stars | 48c | 2,657$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.38 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 53c | 2,338$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.1 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 48c | 2,023$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.67 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Stars | 53c | 2,002$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Lightning | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Stars | 51c | 1,828$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.28 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Stars | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.99 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars | 51c | 1,277$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.39 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Stars | 51c | 1,225$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.24 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Stars | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Stars | 52c | 1,199$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.66 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…f4f2backed Stars | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…323cbacked Lightning | 52c | 1,065$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 52c | 1,000$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.84 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lightning | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Stars | 49c | 976.82$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.61 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Stars | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Lightning | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…c99cbacked Stars | 54c | 555.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 51c | 544.34$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.73 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stars | 49c | 539.14$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.18 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 54c | 511.76$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.88 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Stars | 38c | 483.13$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.67 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 49c | 425$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…7e4fbacked Lightning | 48c | 410.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.96 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Stars | 55c | 399.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Stars | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Stars | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Stars | 47c | 297.02$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3f…bf4dbacked Lightning | 50c | 258.28$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 51c | 255.61$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Stars | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Lightning | 45c | 243$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Lightning | 49c | 230$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Stars | 51c | 230$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Stars | 52c | 229.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…80bbbacked Lightning | 50c | 229.6$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac44…2468backed Stars | 51c | 214.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…6c2ebacked Stars | 52c | 213.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Stars | 48c | 206.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…d17dbacked Lightning | 49c | 201.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…4e59backed Lightning | 50c | 200.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…750abacked Lightning | 47c | 200.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Stars | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Lightning | 66c | 185$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…fc79backed Lightning | 49c | 166.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…9785backed Stars | 52c | 165.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Stars | 49c | 164.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…9c0cbacked Stars | 52c | 156.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 54c | 153.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca0…18e2backed Stars | 51c | 152.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…6334backed Lightning | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Stars | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 49c | 137.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…3839backed Stars | 51c | 133.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706d…0f3cbacked Stars | 51c | 130.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Stars | 50c | 123.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…1fb7backed Lightning | 50c | 118.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…fd33backed Lightning | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 48c | 103.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Lightning | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Stars | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…20abbacked Stars | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stars | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Stars | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Stars | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 46c | 98.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Stars | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…a524backed Stars | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Stars | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c5…603dbacked Stars | 51c | 92.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…1b83backed Lightning | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…51d0backed Lightning | 50c | 82.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Stars | 52c | 80.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Stars | 53c | 79.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Stars | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…af99backed Stars | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Stars | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Lightning | 46c | 67.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Stars | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…4684backed Stars | 49c | 63.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…97dfbacked Lightning | 52c | 61.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Stars | 58c | 58.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Stars | 46c | 58.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…52cdbacked Stars | 51c | 56.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Stars | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x457d…c8e7backed Lightning | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.30per pick | 49cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…bcfabacked Stars | 52c | 49.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Stars | 56c | 49.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.