TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,746
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$318,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,746 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 770 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls36c28,286$10,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,189.433,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dda…4cf6backed Bulls55c24,800$13,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,241.733666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Kings71c15,235$10,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,784.81,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings53c11,340$5,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,989.171,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kings46c10,428$4,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,821.5133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Bulls61c9,354$5,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.9622049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Bulls49c8,339$4,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,255.734052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls29c7,312$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,181.551,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Bulls21c7,212$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,688.9180146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings51c6,960$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,56170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kings49c5,362$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.6970640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Kings68c5,223$3,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.5619152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Kings70c5,167$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,616.6325865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Bulls29c5,100$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,609.954731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Kings75c5,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,75029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Kings72c3,287$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.638251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bulls21c3,208$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.3427735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Kings58c3,109$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.0623554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Kings37c3,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10034524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kings62c2,993$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,853.7288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Kings76c2,639$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.6615341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kings23c2,622$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings71c2,500$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.861,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Bulls37c2,497$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.34050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Kings27c2,142$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.1527251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Bulls27c1,828$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.429836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2379…9ac8backed Bulls27c1,658$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.653327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Kings69c1,650$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.527840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Bulls27c1,627$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.5426640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Kings70c1,541$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.7656945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kings69c1,500$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.5573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bulls30c1,497$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.351,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Bulls67c1,497$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.017864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Bulls23c1,361$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.229747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Bulls30c1,220$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.0217943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Kings76c1,209$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.734425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Kings70c1,143$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Bulls32c1,042$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.3240627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa822…64e6backed Bulls29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71012334.1%42 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Bulls30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70011140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.951,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Bulls43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57019448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kings71c999.99$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.991,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls29c999.96$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.9732130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a7…f4f2backed Bulls29c999.87$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.911266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+103.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Bulls29c999.87$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.9145743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Bulls20c973.43$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.1147229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Bulls31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.749247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked Kings65c915$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.651060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf86d…ac82backed Bulls38c914.76$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.761947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Kings70c899.95$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.9750453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Kings73c893.35$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65084957.6%489 W · 360 L-52.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Bulls30c850$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59551037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings71c833$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.4357760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ee…bf85backed Bulls13c800$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69420031%62 W · 138 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+52.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1837…c705backed Kings76c758$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.08955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick71cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Bulls54c757.35$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.811080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Bulls27c727.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.2993036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Kings73c725.14$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53019944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kings69c724.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2337734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Bulls28c714.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.8226431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings70c692.08$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.461,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Kings69c669.78$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.262351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…261fbacked Bulls30c651.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.396129.5%18 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Kings71c643.74$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.2250245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Kings67c605$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.6517256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3181,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Kings70c600$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Bulls16c599.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.9936514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccd…62b5backed Bulls31c599.96$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.972236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Kings71c564.94$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.0618354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls30c558.77$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.5385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Bulls25c514.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.8729957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Bulls28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36016928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Bulls27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36513138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Bulls22c474.12$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.9247535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Kings61c450.98$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7724336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Kings66c450.63$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4273647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Kings71c445.6$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.3816563.6%105 W · 60 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54df…3449backed Kings71c408.56$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Bulls25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Bulls50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Bulls76c397.5$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x706d…0f3cbacked Bulls30c389$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.34050%20 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Bulls26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6219535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Bulls55c359.62$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7536751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Bulls29c345.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.419038.9%35 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Bulls29c341.38$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3829643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bulls30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3389353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3d…82c7backed Bulls30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.338452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Bulls30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd3…9642backed Bulls31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5830354.1%164 W · 139 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Bulls31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5816129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Kings58c311.22$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1648741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Bulls28c308.5$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.124330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Kings24c300$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7310129.7%30 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Kings69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2077230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.