NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6af72b7d1bf7768ff6784ed01c926b779a6c30370eb9c1e9d13d1c9018a59761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Avalanche, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd46a…5adbbacked Avalanche | 58c | 15,109$8,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,837.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 9,391$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,361.81 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 52c | 5,731$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.25 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 5,321$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.14 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 4,170$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.68 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 4,012$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.5 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 53c | 3,907$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.96 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…b64dbacked Avalanche | 54c | 3,285$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.02 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Avalanche | 53c | 2,744$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.32 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,166$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.93 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,157$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.64 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…cdabbacked Avalanche | 57c | 2,156$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Avalanche | 53c | 2,128$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.31 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,064$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.62 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,611$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.19 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Avalanche | 53c | 1,503$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 52c | 1,500$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Avalanche | 30c | 1,330$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…ae22backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,299$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche | 45c | 1,250$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,052$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.38 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Avalanche | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 1,000$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 939$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked Avalanche | 53c | 939$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 929.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.26 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…6760backed Avalanche | 54c | 849.92$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeef5…8390backed Avalanche | 54c | 777.87$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Avalanche | 15c | 687.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 644.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.43 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 622.65$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.56 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Avalanche | 40c | 577.28$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.73 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 547.31$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.9 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…6334backed Avalanche | 55c | 545.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche | 58c | 518.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 502.13$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.13 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Avalanche | 53c | 501.89$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche | 52c | 492$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 464.42$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.14 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…3878backed Avalanche | 44c | 440$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…7e4fbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…2f77backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 418.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…54e5backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 374.1$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 300.94$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.53 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabff…3a6ebacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Avalanche | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…5ea6backed Avalanche | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…d12cbacked Avalanche | 54c | 296.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Avalanche | 57c | 276.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 38c | 240.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8e…66bfbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 237.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…3535backed Avalanche | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52da…c1f6backed Avalanche | 59c | 234.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…a259backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 227$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…2e4ebacked Avalanche | 53c | 227$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 221.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…208cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Avalanche | 55c | 216.84$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…3869backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 210.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfd…c051backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Maple Leafs | 72c | 208$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche | 34c | 207.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Avalanche | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x837f…81a3backed Avalanche | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…ca19backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Avalanche | 28c | 199.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…5f70backed Maple Leafs | 74c | 193.86$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801c…a025backed Avalanche | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Avalanche | 55c | 186.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 185.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…28ddbacked Avalanche | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Avalanche | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche | 55c | 164.89$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…08a6backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 164.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…c7f2backed Avalanche | 53c | 155$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…b155backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 155$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Avalanche | 54c | 148$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 147.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Avalanche | 53c | 141.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Avalanche | 38c | 137.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…b0bdbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 136.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 131.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…33b3backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Avalanche | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a2…b58fbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 123$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +145.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472d…944cbacked Avalanche | 53c | 123$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c09…65f5backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7969…c333backed Avalanche | 54c | 122$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Avalanche | 46c | 121.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.