TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Cavaliers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$657,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$685,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,796 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47bc…c043backed Kings27c30,385$8,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,252.62757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers67c30,290$20,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,200.161,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa47a…fd11backed Cavaliers72c26,976$19,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,354.635261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Cavaliers22c23,735$5,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,205.3822049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Cavaliers46c15,555$7,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,166.4827251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Kings29c13,908$4,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,839.324052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Cavaliers40c12,602$5,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,066.834532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kings50c11,854$5,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,948.741,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd200…06b1backed Kings48c9,996$4,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,174.293348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Cavaliers32c8,241$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,633.7970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dda…4cf6backed Kings67c7,909$5,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.393666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Kings39c7,787$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,787.411229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Kings32c7,700$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2363151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Cavaliers67c7,244$4,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888.297451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cavaliers71c7,011$5,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,010.4549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Cavaliers62c6,761$4,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,166.3633931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Cavaliers57c6,210$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,537.141,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings36c5,957$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,838.4277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Cavaliers74c5,775$4,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,282.36361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Cavaliers73c5,400$3,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,953.9328341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Cavaliers70c5,393$3,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,774.8225865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Kings43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40096447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Kings47c4,975$2,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,657.9328347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d61…75cfbacked Cavaliers72c4,495$3,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,236.491442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Cavaliers80c4,489$3,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,585.9736057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Kings33c4,288$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,889.2770640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Cavaliers79c4,007$3,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,158.4747229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Kings34c3,953$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,594.5146928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Kings30c3,784$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,648.920238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Cavaliers80c3,630$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903.2621450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Kings30c3,363$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.924628.3%13 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Kings64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1254050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked Cavaliers75c3,000$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.515638.5%60 W · 96 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Cavaliers6c2,999$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9634524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Kings37c2,968$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.615741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Cavaliers66c2,727$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8006435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings33c2,555$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.355,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Cavaliers49c2,544$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.0230443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Kings33c2,435$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.1418354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Cavaliers64c2,398$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.7661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Kings28c2,395$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.926431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked Cavaliers70c2,106$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.989868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Cavaliers4c2,083$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings33c2,070$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.9361835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Cavaliers55c2,000$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09719448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Cavaliers58c1,903$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.846747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Cavaliers61c1,790$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Kings35c1,768$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.510643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Kings32c1,758$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.449836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Kings36c1,757$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.7337448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers65c1,698$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.551,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd156…13b1backed Kings25c1,622$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.953568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x771b…932cbacked Kings36c1,619$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f5f…9ce2backed Cavaliers65c1,597$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.01771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e2…322bbacked Cavaliers65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.981070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+108.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x930d…1dd8backed Kings35c1,498$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.7837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Cavaliers57c1,404$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Cavaliers57c1,390$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.1138942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Kings18c1,350$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10737627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Kings22c1,339$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.136423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Cavaliers61c1,304$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers68c1,295$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.71,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers45c1,176$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.0566744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers64c1,175$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.621,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc3…14dbbacked Kings44c1,127$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.492045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings37c1,107$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.4670951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Cavaliers2c1,053$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd15c…e6e4backed Cavaliers48c1,048$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011256.3%63 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kings31c1,022$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.9937734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Cavaliers75c1,017$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.7617256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Cavaliers48c1,000$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48395848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Cavaliers70c946.7$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.696750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fed…fa70backed Cavaliers47c832.96$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.492853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…f4f2backed Cavaliers64c820.17$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.911266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+103.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Kings27c818.52$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.523860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Cavaliers60c800.6$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.371,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x588c…6929backed Cavaliers64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5121361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Cavaliers65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52050453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Cavaliers66c777.73$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.34942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Cavaliers63c766.88$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3688053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Cavaliers45c760.44$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.241742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27d1…43a0backed Kings19c742.11$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.111915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Cavaliers65c700.17$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.6145743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Kings47c684.77$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6927348.7%133 W · 140 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…9912backed Kings34c647.01$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.02955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d56…cbc2backed Cavaliers70c631.81$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Cavaliers40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cavaliers4c590$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.258783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Kings40c586.56$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4119419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Kings36c554.78$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7829643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0560…d77dbacked Kings34c549.98$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.996346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Kings18c547.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.714918.4%9 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Cavaliers63c543$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.134425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf5…5a81backed Kings21c485.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.481952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+36.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings33c484$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.881,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…e239backed Cavaliers55c468.19$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.134146.3%19 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.