TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Nets, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$485,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$509,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $485,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ef4…292cbacked Pacers76c145,000$110,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,800580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e8…a491backed Nets24c145,000$34,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Pacers42c29,076$12,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,831.85757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+41.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Pacers71c17,704$12,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,087.876873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Nets62c17,602$10,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,895.2549849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets37c15,383$5,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,760.541,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Nets49c13,902$6,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,804.1133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Pacers74c13,631$10,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.0215741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Nets49c11,822$5,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,79225016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Nets48c10,410$5,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,016.0261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…40cabacked Pacers77c9,994$7,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f09…cdd5backed Nets23c9,983$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers54c9,439$5,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,341.7127251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets24c8,100$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.911,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Nets49c7,810$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,821.7622049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Nets43c7,076$3,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,048.8288053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Nets46c6,669$3,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,072.6170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Pacers75c6,543$4,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.431,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Pacers49c6,290$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,187.4829747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers76c5,517$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.6377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…f65cbacked Nets25c5,404$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.931233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Nets26c5,273$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.0536247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Pacers64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Nets26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Nets64c4,453$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,850.3829738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Nets25c3,917$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.3337734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers54c3,798$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.853,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Nets25c3,786$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.2137448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets41c3,654$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.025,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets50c3,342$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.871,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Nets49c3,160$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.536751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Pacers57c3,068$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.7815341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Nets7c2,890$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7834524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe467…d3ebbacked Pacers75c2,827$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets1c2,663$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.631,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers76c2,453$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.291,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Nets72c2,206$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5794050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5488…1609backed Pacers75c2,133$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.14683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+30.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked Pacers50c1,998$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.251060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pacers45c1,776$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.3538027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Nets53c1,700$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.128341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c1,700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Pacers55c1,679$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.3338143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers76c1,612$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.9596447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers70c1,477$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.21,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x644c…8f6bbacked Pacers57c1,477$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.595145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d0…8768backed Nets7c1,417$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Nets29c1,383$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Pacers47c1,374$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.3723554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets25c1,336$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33416532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Nets23c1,317$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.964731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Pacers51c1,276$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.623237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccd…62b5backed Pacers47c1,218$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.282236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Pacers44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.9827731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pacers51c1,071$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.5426640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b17…78fbbacked Pacers76c1,061$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.671090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+43.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Pacers74c1,047$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1740627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pacers72c1,009$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3750245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Nets25c1,008$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25036423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked Nets2c1,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.39857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Nets27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27030826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets23c999.85$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.9732130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…d105backed Pacers75c954.71$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.837169%49 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Nets10c931.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9029450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Pacers53c891.08$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.232650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Nets51c830.35$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.6547229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf6f…3173backed Pacers58c800$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Pacers66c750$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5517256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pacers56c734.31$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.631,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked Pacers78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1544575.6%34 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab76…7c96backed Pacers60c666$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Nets25c662.56$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.643852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Pacers77c651.9$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.99247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8087…ae70backed Nets80c638.29$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.632853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Pacers75c632.49$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7750453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Pacers78c600$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13030351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Pacers61c600$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23568642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Pacers51c585.76$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6614034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dc3…14dbbacked Nets46c580.48$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.022045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca34…8cb1backed Pacers72c553.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0111140.5%45 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Pacers63c550$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20595848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Pacers75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3312759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Pacers74c531.47$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1819944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Pacers74c505.67$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5312040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Pacers76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12045743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers76c499.99$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Pacers41c489.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.761,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Pacers75c474.44$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6161835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets33c452.28$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf5…f3e9backed Pacers75c443.82$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.95742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf901…51d3backed Pacers77c443.12$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.567230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6929…0e4bbacked Pacers53c441.56$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.046253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pacers65c433.14$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1314563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6f…d9d4backed Pacers73c401.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.95056%28 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nets25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Nets25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dad…0668backed Pacers77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923450%17 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.