NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x103e0759fd5ebb462a8c7739e5a1fe843d1627dbb2048ce8119a4f32623d793e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 837 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 57c | 11,121$6,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,340.01 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Heat | 50c | 10,793$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.34 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 64c | 10,058$6,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.4 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rockets | 39c | 9,015$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.3 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Rockets | 71c | 8,171$5,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.39 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Rockets | 51c | 5,786$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.89 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 35c | 5,050$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.96 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Heat | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Rockets | 52c | 4,987$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.38 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets | 64c | 4,974$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.82 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Heat | 37c | 4,945$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.83 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Rockets | 64c | 4,704$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 44c | 4,486$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Rockets | 58c | 4,420$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.13 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Rockets | 54c | 4,193$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rockets | 47c | 4,190$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.01 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 36c | 3,756$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.16 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockets | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets | 64c | 2,850$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Heat | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Rockets | 39c | 2,557$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.44 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 61c | 2,512$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.31 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Heat | 12c | 2,476$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Heat | 37c | 2,213$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.95 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets | 61c | 2,135$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.45 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockets | 78c | 1,979$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.24 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Rockets | 63c | 1,923$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.62 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Heat | 37c | 1,859$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.7 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,686$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.43 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Heat | 36c | 1,556$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.13 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Rockets | 63c | 1,490$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.3 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Heat | 33c | 1,426$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.57 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 47c | 1,329$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.72 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Heat | 48c | 1,282$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.84 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Heat | 36c | 1,260$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.76 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Heat | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…dde5backed Rockets | 66c | 1,160$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.61 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Rockets | 56c | 1,131$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.3 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…3173backed Rockets | 63c | 1,100$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…2e33backed Heat | 36c | 1,095$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…eefdbacked Heat | 38c | 1,050$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 40c | 1,028$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Heat | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Rockets | 68c | 1,000$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Rockets | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…932cbacked Rockets | 63c | 999.96$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Heat | 30c | 926.33$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.9 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Heat | 34c | 874.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6c…42b2backed Rockets | 63c | 873.02$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.02 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Heat | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Rockets | 64c | 797.37$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Rockets | 64c | 784.43$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.39 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…ac82backed Heat | 37c | 783.78$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets | 63c | 763.09$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.33 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rockets | 63c | 702.78$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.03 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockets | 63c | 700$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…8f6bbacked Rockets | 50c | 699.69$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.16 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 23c | 660.58$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Heat | 37c | 660$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.2 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Heat | 35c | 658.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 34c | 649.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.48 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Heat | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Rockets | 66c | 589.99$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat | 45c | 566.64$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.34 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b1d6backed Heat | 63c | 565.07$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…80bbbacked Heat | 35c | 553.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Heat | 37c | 536.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Rockets | 46c | 530$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.1 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Rockets | 64c | 500.03$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.76 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Heat | 20c | 500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Rockets | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Heat | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…62b5backed Rockets | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Rockets | 57c | 491.49$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.49 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Rockets | 45c | 489.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.94 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Heat | 40c | 463.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.67 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…9e23backed Heat | 39c | 461.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 67c | 460$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Rockets | 41c | 453.45$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.42 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Heat | 11c | 452.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Rockets | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…d17dbacked Heat | 34c | 420.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.28 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Rockets | 64c | 406$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Heat | 36c | 401$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d64…5e6cbacked Rockets | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Rockets | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…51d3backed Heat | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…9912backed Heat | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Rockets | 57c | 399.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Rockets | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…80dabacked Heat | 35c | 382.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Rockets | 63c | 349.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Rockets | 64c | 343.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Heat | 31c | 324.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 23.4%85 W · 279 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d9d4backed Rockets | 53c | 321.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.37 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.