TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Knicks, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$495,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$527,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Thunder38c83,261$31,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,793.2311842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Knicks68c71,446$48,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,706.6429738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Thunder62c17,129$10,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,444.563663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks43c14,972$6,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,506.931,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Thunder58c14,288$8,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,016.344949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Knicks36c14,270$5,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,169.4325138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Knicks45c13,707$6,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,236.2870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Thunder27c12,948$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,452.37741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Knicks59c11,829$6,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,932.7811459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77cf…9d82backed Knicks77c10,869$8,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,344.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Thunder38c10,351$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,451.427041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Thunder63c9,948$6,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.1672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder47c8,482$3,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,495.6230443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Knicks36c8,254$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.749849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Knicks45c6,798$3,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.0119350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Knicks34c6,307$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.5111834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed Knicks36c5,422$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.39250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x41ba…dfbbbacked Thunder64c5,047$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.924465.9%29 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks37c4,988$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.4465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Thunder51c4,512$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.5713140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks5c4,469$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.471,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Knicks35c4,169$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.5677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Knicks59c3,814$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.657450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Knicks60c3,547$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.293745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Thunder66c3,434$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.3630251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0304…dcc7backed Thunder67c3,233$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.032157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Knicks33c3,100$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01034425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks49c3,010$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.81,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Knicks62c3,000$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.815561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcabf…c2d7backed Knicks37c2,919$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…cf42backed Thunder65c2,918$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.91050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Knicks22c2,883$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.5263555.6%353 W · 282 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Knicks21c2,690$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.618518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84b…5055backed Knicks64c2,410$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.656361.9%39 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Knicks50c2,393$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.9915947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Knicks75c2,305$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.2525865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Thunder62c2,267$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.0250245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b31…470bbacked Thunder30c2,158$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.55714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Knicks36c2,132$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Thunder50c2,060$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.5226640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Knicks31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe429…fb94backed Knicks50c1,883$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed Knicks10c1,802$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.554344.2%19 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Knicks48c1,792$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.0270951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Knicks52c1,627$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.2917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…1fb3backed Knicks35c1,600$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-70.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac7c…0dc3backed Thunder66c1,600$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Thunder64c1,572$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.023956.4%22 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0e…113dbacked Thunder64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.54052.5%21 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Thunder41c1,538$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.053534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Thunder66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1512563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks43c1,483$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.825,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Knicks35c1,476$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.766347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Thunder41c1,400$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8291,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ae…4876backed Knicks53c1,391$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.63537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Knicks40c1,270$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.3561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Thunder57c1,203$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.8110921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Thunder72c1,173$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4736843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder44c1,131$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.251,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f0…81e1backed Knicks3c1,120$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ac…7f5abacked Thunder63c1,119$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.951145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Knicks36c1,112$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3225651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Thunder64c1,094$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.7515558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa713…b53dbacked Knicks77c1,089$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Thunder41c1,078$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.7826235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Knicks37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37020047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Knicks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Thunder64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…8ec8backed Knicks36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49e5…ef0ebacked Knicks56c972.77$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.55650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+68.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd223…9edbbacked Thunder66c968$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc399…f863backed Knicks35c968$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb01…c789backed Knicks35c956$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466c…ae67backed Thunder66c956$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Thunder61c919.76$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5330061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Thunder58c918.1$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4421357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Knicks35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e77…d7debacked Thunder64c842.13$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2d…09afbacked Knicks35c828$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b5…b5d2backed Thunder66c828$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Knicks51c812.53$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.7339843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Thunder63c799.93$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.9716242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Thunder64c775.76$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.768469%58 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaafb…3027backed Thunder65c773.32$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.325764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x900d…2961backed Thunder65c761.56$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.553571.4%25 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…e27abacked Knicks36c755$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf301…b2a6backed Thunder64c750$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Knicks36c749.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Thunder65c730.31$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.311,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks30c714.45$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8196447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Thunder52c700$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33929661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Knicks71c700$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4976943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8af…eb3fbacked Thunder30c699.92$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+65.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Knicks36c662$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.441,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked Thunder65c640.53$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.011936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Knicks62c625.4$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3907352.1%38 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…7b91backed Thunder63c616$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x646b…256dbacked Knicks36c609.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.591154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Thunder29c607.07$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.0238132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Thunder66c600$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2061,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.