NFL · resolved market
Will the Eagles score 19 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6ce666c2fed79185cb7bb61f18d0d45e49b703f4e5fa8dd01a1d2f362e6857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Over | 74c | 21,400$15,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 26c | 20,227$5,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,357.37 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Under | 26c | 1,410$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.46 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Under | 25c | 599.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…c4d0backed Over | 75c | 510.24$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Over | 72c | 315.07$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Under | 23c | 301.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Under | 26c | 222$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Under | 25c | 163.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b59…eccdbacked Under | 28c | 161.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Over | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Over | 74c | 137$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…3313backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Under | 26c | 94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…c74dbacked Over | 75c | 91.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed Over | 77c | 87.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…6a8bbacked Over | 75c | 83.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…f420backed Over | 75c | 82.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Under | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Under | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x92d2…8358backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Eagles score 19 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?this page
- Will the Eagles score 25 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?Over won
- Will the Eagles score 16 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?Over won
- Will the Eagles score 31 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?Over won
- Will the Eagles score 34 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.