NFL · resolved market
Will the Eagles score 25 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e51d712ce4d5ae501671219b2492bd3d3b393d772f3e5ff5238ebbccfbc23af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Under | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Under | 50c | 293.21$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Under | 53c | 221.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…52b2backed Over | 49c | 200.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82e…0304backed Over | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…aba0backed Over | 47c | 138.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Under | 52c | 104.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Under | 51c | 92.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Over | 47c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Under | 53c | 63.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Over | 45c | 48.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Over | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Over | 44c | 33.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Under | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Eagles score 25 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?this page
- Will the Eagles score 16 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?Over won
- Will the Eagles score 19 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?Over won
- Will the Eagles score 31 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?Over won
- Will the Eagles score 34 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.