TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Nuggets, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$770,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$788,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $770,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,555 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e80…59e8backed Suns44c90,214$39,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,262.021050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Nuggets33c58,379$19,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,519.365911.9%7 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets46c30,000$13,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,70029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Nuggets5c25,532$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3005267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns54c22,346$12,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,205.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Suns57c18,976$10,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,11715056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Nuggets56c17,873$10,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,008.9610945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets47c17,097$8,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,083.3770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Nuggets52c15,000$7,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,839.997248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Suns62c13,035$8,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,909.6525651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nuggets26c10,720$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.331,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc40e…124dbacked Suns42c10,032$4,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,818.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f4…97abbacked Nuggets58c10,024$5,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,813.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Suns43c9,000$3,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,129.831241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Nuggets23c8,648$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.3810925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Nuggets58c8,615$4,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,976.4434644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f1…42a4backed Suns68c8,483$5,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,730.351478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7851backed Nuggets56c7,423$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.99850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Suns74c7,239$5,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.15561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe105…0bf0backed Suns44c7,044$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,944.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Suns43c6,372$2,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,616.9377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Nuggets56c5,925$3,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,317.946450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Nuggets1c5,674$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4737011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Suns52c5,455$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,613.9461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Nuggets39c5,123$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.674436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets1c4,923$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.271,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Suns52c4,828$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.4934425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nuggets1c4,600$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.641,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets31c4,484$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.211,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Nuggets50c3,893$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.1926235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb02e…ad70backed Nuggets39c3,890$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…b199backed Nuggets3c3,748$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3980%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e5…3dbbbacked Nuggets56c3,313$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.28540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets56c3,289$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.5936057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85de…87e5backed Suns74c3,253$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.162860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns51c3,168$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.841,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Nuggets57c3,070$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Nuggets40c3,061$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.357024.3%17 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaed…de05backed Nuggets56c2,954$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Suns44c2,750$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5405269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Nuggets56c2,679$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc28c…b2bdbacked Nuggets56c2,676$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.57911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-84.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Nuggets56c2,656$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Nuggets53c2,641$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.858343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Suns43c2,560$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.054257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+70.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7896…3e00backed Nuggets45c2,555$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.962142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Suns44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3751,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Nuggets53c2,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3304526.7%12 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Nuggets56c2,464$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.016943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Nuggets62c2,414$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Suns43c2,410$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.8914438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Nuggets57c2,301$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b7…9360backed Nuggets55c2,300$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.992544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…3e5fbacked Suns44c2,142$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Suns45c2,060$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.8116838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets49c2,043$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.7230443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Suns52c2,039$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.3719350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb8…c405backed Suns59c2,028$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.173447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eee…02fcbacked Suns45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+74.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Nuggets55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10026049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc414…f1e8backed Suns53c1,886$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets51c1,867$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.4365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Nuggets55c1,833$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.13161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c6c…9047backed Suns62c1,800$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.281330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02c8…5c16backed Nuggets55c1,739$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.472729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Nuggets56c1,731$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.3137954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets56c1,700$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dec…c5b2backed Suns53c1,695$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.434030%12 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Suns44c1,594$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8949445.7%43 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Suns50c1,580$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.2319939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Suns42c1,499$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.9529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Nuggets2c1,469$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.551348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Suns60c1,421$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.153053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5d5…fc86backed Nuggets56c1,400$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7841136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets48c1,398$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.311,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Suns71c1,373$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.286947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4981…5176backed Suns45c1,300$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7151643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets57c1,295$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.2773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Nuggets49c1,262$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.985358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Nuggets58c1,207$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Nuggets55c1,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9413857.2%79 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…6bd1backed Suns54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.983568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3add…11b5backed Nuggets43c1,187$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.252334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e8…637abacked Suns43c1,160$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Suns44c1,146$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.0856348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37cd…5b44backed Suns58c1,126$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.63043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6afa…8f06backed Suns44c1,079$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.831770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Suns42c1,079$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.956744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Nuggets47c1,065$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.6925939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Suns47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5305660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e30…ef89backed Nuggets57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5707741.6%32 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3538…e615backed Suns63c999.74$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.062161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+131%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Suns43c999.55$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.748040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Nuggets44c997.99$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.764254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ba…d429backed Nuggets57c969.39$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.554254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7531…bc78backed Nuggets7c950$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x096b…8eafbacked Nuggets58c945.82$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x082b…5e67backed Suns54c941.53$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.8728256.7%160 W · 122 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Suns48c914.68$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.2470951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.