MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ff393e794aeaa5bc37b460b96c3678f6fff829b1b8ed389483c351d7b8815f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 38c | 61,566$23,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,368.99 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 62c | 44,793$27,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,771.9 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Padres | 62c | 21,250$13,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,280.41 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 24c | 16,984$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 48c | 10,604$5,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,081.84 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 2c | 8,795$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Padres | 57c | 8,162$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Orioles | 39c | 5,002$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Orioles | 61c | 4,662$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.49 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Padres | 26c | 4,254$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.56 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 63c | 3,784$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.92 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Orioles | 63c | 3,592$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Padres | 49c | 3,548$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.23 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 49c | 3,535$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.37 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Padres | 61c | 3,444$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.84 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Padres | 18c | 3,074$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.82 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Padres | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 17c | 2,806$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.31 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Orioles | 52c | 2,409$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.43 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 57c | 2,278$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.21 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 29c | 2,270$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.18 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 57c | 2,264$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 37c | 2,246$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.2 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 37c | 2,160$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.8 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 19c | 1,999$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.95 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Padres | 22c | 1,745$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.86 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 38c | 1,672$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.63 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 69c | 1,648$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.69 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Orioles | 66c | 1,493$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.46 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 66c | 1,283$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.24 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 45c | 1,177$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.91 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…81cfbacked Orioles | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Padres | 14c | 1,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…babebacked Padres | 61c | 982$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…3b2fbacked Padres | 61c | 968$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 38c | 950$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 38c | 950$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…98afbacked Orioles | 39c | 950$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Padres | 61c | 872.41$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Padres | 22c | 867$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.11 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Orioles | 39c | 788.58$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.53 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 40c | 781.25$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.75 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Padres | 37c | 762.08$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Padres | 62c | 646.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Orioles | 80c | 625.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Padres | 3c | 599.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 37c | 564.6$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Padres | 63c | 558$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.96 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 63c | 522$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.86 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Orioles | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…410cbacked Padres | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Padres | 21c | 462.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Padres | 19c | 440.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 11c | 437.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Orioles | 49c | 420.66$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Orioles | 38c | 396.44$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.79 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68d…9b4abacked Padres | 41c | 369.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Orioles | 38c | 365.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.56 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Orioles | 38c | 356.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 39c | 349.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 47c | 338.6$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked Orioles | 63c | 306.4$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Padres | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Orioles | 38c | 263$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Orioles | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 38c | 244.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.79 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Padres | 22c | 211.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Padres | 56c | 207.49$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 62c | 207$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…23d4backed Padres | 61c | 200.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Orioles | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Orioles | 74c | 198.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 54c | 186.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Padres | 63c | 185.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Padres | 13c | 179.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 43c | 176.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Padres | 54c | 168$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Padres | 33c | 166.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Orioles | 72c | 166.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Padres | 60c | 166.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Padres | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Padres | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Orioles | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Padres | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Padres | 18c | 156.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Padres | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Orioles | 66c | 154.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Orioles | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Orioles | 39c | 150$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.8wins | +0.36per pick | 45cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Padres | 20c | 138.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orioles vs. Padresthis page
- Orioles vs. Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Padres (-1.5)Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.