TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$388,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$464,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd692…8b9abacked Spurs2c14,901$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2926235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Spurs41c14,447$5,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,871.2131935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs37c12,957$4,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,797.0265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Grizzlies56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.896863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Spurs54c7,941$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.6215551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Grizzlies60c6,956$4,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782.456841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs9c6,553$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.731,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs58c6,128$3,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,558.081,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Spurs47c5,624$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.4637448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Grizzlies51c4,761$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.9249849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Spurs58c4,566$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.9736843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Grizzlies80c4,442$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.6511164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8290…7fa3backed Grizzlies57c3,538$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x321f…7f25backed Spurs43c3,478$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5224…9e8bbacked Grizzlies70c3,383$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1875…eb5ebacked Spurs9c3,114$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.616229%18 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Spurs30c3,002$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Spurs57c2,867$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.0419943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Spurs7c2,778$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Spurs45c2,730$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.516942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Spurs44c2,640$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.630351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Grizzlies53c2,550$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Spurs44c2,525$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1116622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Grizzlies48c2,268$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.17622.4%17 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs37c2,212$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.391,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies54c2,187$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.133,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfab7…953abacked Spurs49c2,078$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.344632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Grizzlies40c2,017$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.384847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2791…2f45backed Spurs48c2,000$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.87650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Spurs5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc71…39dabacked Grizzlies55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Grizzlies45c1,938$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.5929661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Spurs3c1,720$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4215741.4%65 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Spurs55c1,706$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.7625957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Spurs52c1,627$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.6429738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Grizzlies60c1,609$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.666947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Grizzlies57c1,528$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.074254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Grizzlies43c1,400$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7988337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Grizzlies40c1,304$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.0648741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Grizzlies44c1,297$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.6527735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed Grizzlies55c1,273$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.735660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6d…6c66backed Grizzlies61c1,269$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.13759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Grizzlies47c1,258$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.6521455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3a…642fbacked Spurs62c1,131$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4469…cefebacked Spurs68c1,032$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.054042.5%17 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Spurs46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4609330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs45c979$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.777745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Spurs44c954.94$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.1757760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Grizzlies58c953.43$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.412755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f7…0108backed Grizzlies48c950$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4941464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c0…fd11backed Spurs59c930.74$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.585339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Spurs80c913.1$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.84344.2%19 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Spurs1c908.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.127502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Grizzlies57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1917838.2%68 W · 110 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf27…929ebacked Spurs29c825$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.252313%3 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-76.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Grizzlies42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46451037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49cc…9385backed Grizzlies38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4961250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+75.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad3f…857ebacked Spurs56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4483333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2214…5968backed Spurs58c795$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.756549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Spurs50c762.16$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.082560%15 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Grizzlies53c752$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Spurs44c750$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies47c743.24$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.341,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies54c741.04$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.2747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x757b…62c8backed Grizzlies57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7518644.6%83 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Spurs44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30827546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Grizzlies41c700$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41327731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32b…1e55backed Grizzlies41c698.31$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.191926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Grizzlies47c696.45$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2211249.1%55 W · 57 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd6c…42b2backed Grizzlies66c695.82$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.679154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Grizzlies55c687.99$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.4817047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Spurs44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs50c668.95$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.481,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Spurs49c640$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31462351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa09b…a0ffbacked Grizzlies53c639.21$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.438861.4%54 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Spurs2c633.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.215502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Spurs44c630.39$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28026640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Spurs50c627$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.57759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Spurs29c570$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3142434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefe6…e9b8backed Grizzlies57c562.18$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Grizzlies36c558.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.3319145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Spurs57c534.72$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.794158.5%24 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+47.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Spurs2c509.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.124423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Grizzlies56c500$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.7889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies52c500$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2391,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Grizzlies48c497.92$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9215558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Spurs6c496.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7938132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc3…d062backed Grizzlies56c474.99$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.991070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8f7…1b4cbacked Spurs43c469.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.091030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Spurs43c465.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0737831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies51c464.19$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.625,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1809…b277backed Spurs47c425.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Spurs39c424.41$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.945028%14 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Spurs44c420.35$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9536748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Spurs78c392.09$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3057860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaf…e782backed Grizzlies52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f51…2019backed Grizzlies42c373.91$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.9217853.9%96 W · 82 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs44c370.19$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb828…27a9backed Grizzlies60c369.67$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.87887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.